Too undervalued for a bid?12 Jun 2022 17:23
Anyone else think part of the reason people are sceptical about bids coming is because THG is too undervalued for it to happen?
I don't believe PE believe MM would sell so there's almost no point putting in a bid? That's not to say they believe the share price is necc going to go up in the short term because the share price is not the company and sometimes share prices become cursed, but they know THG the business is very undervalued therefore MM won't sell.
Maybe if this was £6 at the moment they might think they could offer say £8 to have chance of buying from MM? However as things stand the way only way to get it cheap is to buy WITH Matt rather than buy FROM Matt.
Buying with MM they could get a lot cheaper, though still would have to offer a big premium on current I would imagine due to enough stubborn holders who do no want to go into a private vehicle and are happy to wait as a listed company.
There are some posters who seem to think buying FROM Matt at say £3 is actually a possible thing. There is just no way. A buyout WITH Matt is possible though.
Just to remind they rejected PE bids of £3.9 billion in 2018 when the company was making £736 million revenue a year and had £186 million in cash.
They now make £2.2 billion revenue a year and have £530 million in cash.
Also, remember this paragraph from the times a few weeks back? Didn't really sound like a "rolling to private" holder -
"One of THG’s biggest shareholders told The Times that he was “sitting tight” in the expectation of more bids and said that a 170p-a-share approach only valued the business at one times its sales. Recent private transactions for similar nutrition and health businesses, such as Nestlé’s acquisition of Orgain, were going for five times. “Our view is that THG is significantly undervalued,” the investor added. He noted that while THG’s shares had fallen dramatically since its listing in September 2020 other ecommerce stocks including Boohoo, Asos and Ocado had lost two-thirds of their value and he believed that THG had bigger future growth prospects."