RE: Telegraph article20 Feb 2022 11:30
The telegraph article was from yesterday at 7pm Rock.
Nothing in the Sunday Times though it did have a piece by the same writer from 2 weeks ago who dropped the THG rumour, writing about how e commerce players mostly boohoo and asos have suffered from supply chain issues:
"In the past year, the share prices of fast-fashion retailers Asos and Boohoo, online beauty seller THG, and electric appliance specialist AO have more than halved.
Privately, online retail sources admit demand has fallen sharply in recent weeks amid mounting concern over the cost of living. Despite the sharp sell-off, some traders bet that shares have further to fall. Shorting against Asos and Boohoo totals £205 million, according to stock lending data from IHS Markit.
The supply chain crisis has had the biggest impact in the fast-fashion industry. The business model is predicated on free-flowing supply chains that allow retailers to design, manufacture and deliver new garments in a few weeks.
Fast-fashion companies depend on air freight to move goods at speed. Credit Suisse analyst Simon Irwin said Boohoo transports about 40 per cent of inbound orders and about 30 per cent of outbound orders by air. Asos flies about 14 per cent of outbound orders, he added.
Lengthy shipping delays and an eightfold increase in costs catalysed a surge in demand for air freight in the run-up to Christmas, but capacity was about 15 per cent lower than usual thanks to the cut in passenger flights, which carry cargo in the belly of the plane. The price of moving a kilogram of cargo from Hong Kong to Europe rose to $8.50, roughly triple pre-pandemic levels.
Shares in Boohoo have fallen below 91p, their lowest level for 5½ years. The retailer is running sales of up to 70 per cent off, seen by some as a late push to try to hit forecasts before its financial year end in February. That idea was dismissed by a source close to the company, who insisted Boohoo was running a normal end of season sale.
Online retailers deemed strong enough to weather the storm are on the radar of opportunistic private equity firms, such as Advent International, which is said to be scouring the sector for opportunities.
“Demand for fast fashion isn’t going anywhere,” predicts former Asos chairman Brian McBride.
Even accounting for the recent drop-off in sales growth, early evidence suggests that more people will be shopping online than before the pandemic. Excluding food, 41.5 per cent of all retail purchases were made online in January, compared with 31.2 per cent two years ago, according to the British Retail Consortium and KPMG. The issue for the likes of Asos and Boohoo is that new competitors could capture that growth. Take the Chinese operator Shein. In less than a decade it it has built a fast-fashion business turning over an estimated $10 billion-plus annually."