RE: Stock Investors Says Cineworld are to Reap the Rewards of Barbenheimer This Weekend LET’S HOPE SO!!!!!!!!!.25 Jul 2023 10:04
Well Juno, whilst you are doing that perhaps you can come up with a single piece of evidence where I thought we would LIKELY be ok at the end of all this? My position has been consistent all the way through and as you seem to be one the particularly dim posters on here (asking questions like why do they need to go in administration when they are solvent) I'll spell it out for you:
The company ran out of money - it was down to its last $4m
It went into Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings to protect itself from creditors (as it had no money left to pay them)
As part of this the lenders put in $1.9bn of DIP financing, a large part of which was needed just to keep the company going (and was badly needed as it has since made further cash losses of well over $0.5bn)
As a result the lenders are now effectively taking over the company and shareholders will be wiped out
There is going to be no token gesture to shareholders as firstly why should the lenders do this and secondly if they did they would have to fork over a $1bn to fully satisfy those creditors who rank above us and are currently getting next to nothing
So my take is, and always has been, that any LTH needs a miracle (last minute mega offer etc.) and any trader needs news that raises false hopes but will encourage people to invest and push the price up (this has already happened several times and could well happen again).
So traders can still make money here but time is running out and risk is increasing every day. LTHs though are relying on the near impossible I'm afraid.
So, in a nutshell, my view is that it is all over bar the shouting and an ever decreasing window of opportunity for increasingly risky trading.
You may well disagree with me, and that's fine as opinions are subjective and everybody is entitled to their own, but don't pretend that I have disagreed with myself.