RE: Gold1 Jun 2024 15:41
News, just so you know I have fund management qualifications, have run funds and used to be one the people who wrote examinations for two professional institutes.
My view, probably a bit controversial, is that the conventional notion of risk is misleading. There is no such thing as low risk or high risk; what they do conventionally is measure volatility as a surrogate for risk. They then look for correlations in volatility; the idea is to construct a portfolio with a volatility similar to the market as a whole but obtain higher returns than the market. This is called diversification, it is based on the CAPM model and when you need it most, it fails. The diversified, lower risk portfolio with lower correlation holdings fails when the bottom falls out of the market. When the markets are bad, the correlation goes to 1; it is a fire sale.
I don't try to do that. What I want is fundamentally mispriced assets either within a company's portfolio or the company itself. I did a few trades in and out of RRR before we didn't anything large. I found out about RRR because a Troll called Mr Magic started trolling another company I was in because it was linked to RRR.
We did a largeish CLN to fund DRC and history has shown we got it exactly right. The assets we funded were sold for $430m but the cost of the deal, cash, shares, warrants was all in $2mil ish. Unfortunately, as we know, the assets were stolen, nonetheless the analysis and investment decision were correct. You have to ask yourself why would someone pay $430mil via back door deal and what does that mean about the true value of the assets in question?
When the trolls keep going on about AB, they conveniently forget its best assets were stolen and sold for $430mil.
When the claim is pursued, it will include a component for the dilution and consequent loss of value caused by the tortious interference. If the assets had not been stolen then none of the fund raises over the last few years would have happened: one flows from the other. Our friends in Big G, will have to pay.
DYOR