RE: Takeover Potential 10p/Share +4 Jul 2023 13:26
PTY's £40.6M. of annual revenue is over eleven times its market cap., and its losses and debt are small in relation to this.
An acquirer may well feel that they can save costs if PTY is part of a larger organisation, and also benefit from cross-selling opportunities.
ECSC was also lossmaking, but that didn't stop if from being taken over, at a huge premium (170.1%): for c. £5.4M. of cash, compared to its latest interim revenue of £2.77M.
PTY also looks to have a turnaround underway, with good positive momentum, and I think that the H1 trading update (announced on 25th. July last year) should highlight this.
As regards a potential predator for PTY, I wouldn't be at all surprised if SThree (STEM) has already been sniffing around.
STEM's market cap. is c. £453.95M. (134,501,400 shares x 337.5p), compared to PTY's of £3.61M., i.e. c. 125.75 x higher.
That obviously considerably reduces the range of potential acquirers for STEM.
STEM is more likely to be an acquirer than an acquiree, and PTY looks like a very appropriate bolt-on acquisition for it, which it could easily afford.
STEM's revenue last year was £1,639.4Bn., i.e. (coincidentally) 3.61x its market cap.
And that's at a depressed share price that is down from 600p in 2021.
In comparison, PTY's 40.6M of revenue last year divided by 3.61 gives a value of £11.25M.
So even allowing for STEM's cash, and PTY's debt, you can see that a takeover value for PTY of c. £10M. or so looks quite reasonable, considering that tech takeovers generally demand a big premium.
Especially as PTY has considerable scarcity value as an acquisition target.