AC Note on NWT, 25.1.24: Further progress against 2025 Growth Strategy28 Jan 2024 12:24
Allenby Capital's Company Note on NWT is a 14-page document, featuring a current NWT price of 91p at the top.
Note that their research is intended for professionals and institutional investors, so lesser mortals should perhaps stop reading now!
Here are a few extracts:-
"Interims from Newmark Security plc, a leading provider of electronic and physical security systems, indicate further progress against its 2025 Growth Strategy of increasing the proportion of recurring revenue and services. Hardware-enabled software and services substantially increases Newmark’s addressable market, offers greater revenue visibility and margin accretion. At Grosvenor Technology (Human Capital Management and Access Control), annualised recurring revenue increased 77% in H1 to £2.3m meanwhile Safetell, the provider and maintainer of integrated doors solutions and physical security division, maintained its revenue growth (+24%) following its 2022 restructuring, product portfolio refresh and increased focus on services revenue. Newmark returned to profit in Q2 and this has continued in H2 and management anticipates FY revenue growth in both divisions. As higher gross margins and operational gearing come through, we would anticipate a rapid growth in profits."
"The loss of UKG had been anticipated for some time following the acquisition of Kronos Inc by Ultimate Software, a customer of Newmark’s GT clocks, in 2020, and subsequent renaming. Kronos was a multinational provider of workforce management and HCM software but also a major manufacturer of time clocks. The combination of two large HCM software companies but also one of the largest device manufacturers has created an opportunity for independents, such as Grosvenor, and it has secured three additional HCM software providers in H1. This has derisked the division but also created additional software and services revenue opportunities.
Within HCM, revenue in North America fell 20%, reflecting the UKG loss, to £3.9m but increased 42% in Rest of World to £2.1m, continuing the trend of FY23. Excluding the impact of UKG, underlying revenue growth for North America was 8%. Grosvenor has been successful in displacing competitor clock products through its entry level devices coupled with recurring revenue services and can also offer a higher level of cybersecurity with GT Connect achieving ISO 27001 certification."
"Management reports that the company returned to profit after tax in Q2 and this trend is continuing in H2. Overall, FY24 revenue is expected to grow in both Safetell and Grosvenor, despite the UKG loss, supported by a good spread of public and private sector contracts. As higher gross margin revenue streams grow, coupled with the effect of operational gearing, we would anticipate an acceleration in in profit growth. The current financing facilities are sufficient to execute its current plans."
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