RE: These figures are huge , EV explosion coming22 Jul 2021 12:52
Https://www.nsenergybusiness.com/features/commodities-supercycle-energy-transition/# EXTRACT Required increase in metals supply presents challenges for producers and consumers Wood Mackenzie’s report shows the forces that are shaping up to drive this boom are unique. But even for those commodities stepping into the limelight, it said decarbonisation creates as many risks as it does opportunities. Under the energy researcher’s proprietary Accelerated Energy Transition-2 (AET-2) scenario, which is consistent with limiting the rise in global temperatures since pre-industrial times to 2C, 360 million tonnes (Mt) of aluminium, 90 Mt of copper, and 30 Mt of nickel will feed the energy transition over the next 20 years. The report notes that this level of additional metal presents obvious challenges for producers and consumers alike. “As with all commodities, the metals that are key to the transition will have to bring on replacement capacity to replace existing mines as they deplete and close,� said Morris. “Under our base case, which is broadly consistent with a 2.8-3˚C global warming view, this requirement is manageable. However, under our AET-2 scenario, the new annual installed capacity required becomes eye-watering. “By 2030, cobalt producers would need to have built 167% more supply than we currently have in our forecast, while copper would need to find 85% more mine supply than in our base-case forecasts. This will present a huge challenge for the sector.�