RE: Hasiba4 Jan 2021 09:47
Morning C7...
Your posting last night 21.58
I always find your posting intelligently composed and raises more interesting debates in a constructive manner....
With regards to the current vaccines and the pandemic virus mutations..
Well from my understanding we are dealing with slower mutations type virus than for example the flu virus and the (Antigen Drift) is causing minor changes mainly in the spike proteins of the virus so the current vaccines scientifically can recognise them and should work well as with the original novel Covid19 as the shape has not changed much , so why is the panic??...
The bigger problem is indeed the continuation of mutations and the longer that allowed to happen with the current super-spreader mutant to continue at this speed of transmission the worse situation we will be...more infections,more hospitals admissions,more death ,more long covid conditions arise and prolonged lockdown with more economic destruction . In UK between 24/12 and 1/1 less than a million have been given the first dose of vaccine and this is catastrophically slow and if continues we will see more serious problems as above due to this super spreader ability to infect so many people in a short time of its discovery mainly in London and south east.
The only way to be a head of the virus to contain it and defeat it is by vaccinating at least 2 millions people a week which we haven’t achieved yet.
The dangers of the current high infections and appearance of a new mutations is that we may see ( Antigen Shift) and this can be formed by two different mutant viruses or one of them with the novel one infecting one cell resulting in a new novel virus which would not respond to the current vaccines we have ...I leave you to imagine what would happen then....so far this hasn’t happened yet but the more mutations numbers on the existing novel virus or developing a new novel one the more serious it becomes to all of us..
The solution is to vaccinate people by increasing the numbers of vaccinators and also why not have 24/7 vaccination programmes now as for example in hospitals centres to speed the numbers of people getting the vaccine earlier?
I also agree with giving the second dose at 12 weeks interval so we can get more people vaccinated with some immunity. Measles vaccine was given initially in the 1960s as a single vaccine which gave good immunity at least a few months so highly likely this will be the case now but we will see..
Probably things will be near normality at the end of the summer..my guess
ATB