Can Lloyds, Barclays and HSBC follow up NatWest's profit surge?18 Feb 2024 09:57
Optimism for Lloyds.
Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LSE:LLOY) is closest to Natwest in structure and the domestic markets it serves, so the good showing from its rival today should bode well.
“Lloyds faired pretty well back at third-quarter results, the only major UK bank to see underlying profit before tax improve from the prior quarter,” noted Hargreaves Lansdown.
“As a traditional lender with operations geared toward interest income, net interest margin (NIM) is key,” Hargreaves added.
Analysts are looking for 3.01% in the fourth quarter.
Aside from that, it should been plain sailing except now a rock has been thrown in into the pool in the shape of Close Brothers scrapping its dividend yesterday due to the FCA’s car finance probe.
Lloyds, too, is big in this market but according to Jefferies, “other than the fact that Close Brothers and Lloyds both operate in the car finance market, the two firms cannot be compared".
Lloyds has experience in operational complexities related to redress schemes [think PPI], Jefferies said, while the scale of any such refunds would have a very different impact on each firm.
The US bank also stuck to a forecast of a £2.5 billion Lloyds share buyback for 2023.
Subject to any additional provisioning, Lloyds is tipped to up full-year underlying profits by 15% to £8.1bn according to consensus.
https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/1041139/can-lloyds-barclays-and-hsbc-follow-up-natwest-s-profit-surge-1041139.html