RE: Jiangxi...2 Nov 2023 10:27
Based on BSC's exit, it's possible that 50m shares got washed through market. Volume as you say has been high so looks like BSC are done now but often there's a small period of overhang where some tidy is required. I reckon the SP was trashed from around 13.5p levels, so quite remarkable to see it test the 7's based on a forced seller of no more than 1.4% holding. Need to account for traders and the overleveraged too as often they are victims to a large seller as get caught on wrong side of it. That compounds things further.
Yesterday, Morningstar data showed almost zero movements across fund managers and ii's on SOLG in month of October. So it appears it was all down to BSC. However, there are some II's not on that data like Norges and due to the fact they are sub 3% notifiable interest... it's hard to tell whether they too have been selling. That's the only real large unknown holder out there as far as I can see. They were active buyers when the price was 35p last year, so selling at these levels makes little sense especially when this story looks odds on to end very soon with a transaction or deal of some sort. They may as well hang in there.
The weird one is the XIB short. BSC unexpected heavy handed selling surely offered them a fab chance to buy back 15m shares and bank a whopping 12p+ a share. Instead, they have stayed put unless of course they have failed to update market on short position. That happens more often than you think these days.