Farce10 Mar 2021 15:37
Well, this news is a massive blow, to say the least.
I invested here because we were constantly told that a deal was just around the corner and because cocrystals supposedly reduced the time to market by eliminating the need for lengthy trials on account of the fact that they didn't break the previous data. We had Ebers, NXP001 and NXP002 deal irons in the fair. Surely at least one thing stood a good chance of succeeding. Ebers and NXP001 appeared to be in the bag.
Now here we are, 12 months later with nothing to show for it. Everything has turned to ashes. NXP002 Asian deal appears to have been lost (if it was ever there). Ebers £51m deal..gone. Chinese NXP001 £2.5m payday..gone. BoD..gone.
Over the last 12 months we have been told that things were either still on track or were even more promising because of opportunities afforded by the pandemic. We had no inkling of any trouble at Ebers apart from the fact that no news was coming out. In the meantime, persistent selling by influential shareholders continued. There was even selling last week before this news hit us. Excellent timing!
Vistagen and Oxilio came in last year but Vistagen has already been written off, which leaves us with only Oxilio left.
The new funding has been oversubscribed (which some might think is a good thing) but why, given what we know? The only reason I can think of is that a discounted 2p investment will quickly turn into 3 or 4p if Oxilio sign on the dotted line by 23rd March. If they don't, then come 29th March, will those investors still be as keen and are they fully committed without any ability to withdraw? I'd like to know how many (if any) are already influential shareholders. If most of the funding is coming from them then can't they simply vote it down on the 29th March once they know Oxilio's decision? If that is so then will they not have simply acquired a discounted holding with zero risk?
If it got voted down then it might be end of the road for us but I feel certain that there will still be someone hanging around in the shadows ready to snap up the valuable/promising bits for a hefty future profit.
If there is one thing I would really like to see now then it some interest by the FCA into the activities of this company over the last 12-18 months. Just to know that there is still some sort of regulation over the market that protects investors and ensures that this kind of thing can only arise only from incompetence and nothing else.