Member Info for fogthemogg

If there were no bidders at 60p back in 2022, I doubt they'll be any at 300p+ now.

"The opposite view which ‘may’ be supporting the price is that attacks like the one of Kiev will bring the end closer."

At the height of energy infrastructure attacks and FXPO temporarily stopping operations in the autumn of 2022, share price nearly bagged nonsensically to 180p. I was kind of hoping we'd see a similar move 😀

"We need to promote wealth creation, not punish it. Otherwise, what's the point of going to work in the morning?"

There has been HUGE paper wealth creation in the UK over the last 50 years. Capital gains enjoyed from the average property price going from 4k in 1970, to 19k in 1980, to 76k in 1990 and now to 270k in 2025 have little to do with hard graft though I'm afraid.

Whilst I don't agree with this property tax in principle, the largest source of personal wealth building in the UK is due to government and central bank policies. These are namely decades of insufficient housebuilding, low interest rates and very high net migration.

I know we'd all like to think that our house values doubling, trebling or increasing tenfold is all down to hard work and doing things the right way, but it isn't...

Tullow AND production ramp-up in the same sentence?

They averaged 87 kboepd in 2019, it has now halved...Even if you include the dodgy gas adjustment.

@404x, meaning that Nagle wouldn't be a serious buyer? I hope he isn't 🙃

"Well it’s bloody hot in Las Vegas, sadly heading back home today ….. "

Anton, as a benefits claimant, you're supposed to let DWP know of any holiday plans?

This stock has just become one giant jerk off since Trump's victory 🫠

"I don't see any point rehashing old ground where we now have a voice with Elliot's. I'm confident that shareholders will see 20% upside ....year end 2026 towards Q1 2027."

But we'd have nothing to talk about then?

@LemonTree1

Every buy is a sell and every sell is a buy. The buy/sell differentiation on here is just indicative, depending on whether last traded price was closer to the bid or ask. Think you're also mixing up so-called "big buys" with uncrossing trades...

"In 5H there is a 'evening star' pattern. Maybe 53p?"

Nah, looks more like a dancing monkey cup and handle breakout from a triple reverse head and shoulders to me.

"Traders don’t see BP as a Dog, there has been serious money to be made by trading BP.

Those who bought at April lows have made about 30% profit."

That's the point some of us have made for years though, BP is a trading stock and not a long-term investment. Buy only during stress events like Covid or Trump tariff mayhem.

The 25/30-year chart says it all...It's gone nowhere.

Haha Mike, if I stop out >200p then I could be tempted back in if HBR drifted back to the April lows.

"This withheld vat business looks like the its the biggest issue."

It is by far, that's the irony...

" If oil prices stay firm, the upside bias remains, but the next big move depends on whether the market rewards dividends or penalizes transition risks."

Brent is now clinging to $66 in peak demand season. We may have an imminent Ukraine ceasefire, followed by sanctions relief for Russia and seasonal oil demand weakness/inventory buildup over the coming autumn and winter.

I've now put stops on BP from the positions I opened in April, I'm not watching it potentially slide back into the mid-300s.

Is no one going to discuss the elephant in the room?

Brent is clinging to $66 during what is supposed to be seasonal strength. We've now potentially got an imminent ceasefire in Ukraine, perhaps followed by sanctions relief and softer oil demand/increased inventories going into autumn and winter.

All I'll say is, I've now put stops on most of my oilers.

"Downside limited….Upside MASSIVE! Get em now!"

Hilarious when people say that, the downside is always -100% at any price.

Gap up or down, place your bets ladies and gentlemen...

"Au contraire ... it is extremely relevant. In fact it is so relevant that the FSA requires a disclaimer if a person or institution has a position when they are publishing an article, broker rating, etc."

FSA? Alright Grandad 😆

Tullow was 800p the last time they existed.

"Feels a bit manipulated to me. I respectfully disagree on the ceasefire. I think that would put this towards 100p instantly."

FXPO took over a month to move from 60p to 100p after Trump's election victory. The company had more than one palletiser running then too, plus VAT refunds...

As I've said before, Zelensky's regime is a bigger threat to FXPO than Putin bizarrely.

It went ex today...