2 years too early9 Aug 2022 10:15
I have heavy heartedly cemented a huge 55% loss today. Taken what capital left for more near term investments, leaving a very small amount in the bottom drawer. Killed me but that was enough for me & time out required. Art has not been good for my health !
After yesterday’s presentation, the real infancy in the company became super clear to me. Arrived January & invested heavy thinking billion+ barrels, Poo in triple digits = no brainier. Yet watched for 8 months. losing vast sums of £ in the continued fall from 37p.
I’m sure it will one day come good, but the journey to get there I completely underestimated & for me is extremely long one filled with multiple pot holes & dilution.
Concerns from yesterday;
Field is relying on a flaring permit being issued to keep flowing. Safety so should get but still never know.
Pipe furring, another two ‘on way out’ needing to be taken offline +
large servicing £costs.
No tube / no rig, new discovery drilling a while out, 2023 looks more likely.
Additionally junior funding on top of the RBL, worries me with current track record of share issue.
Only 4-15% recovery rate on the 993m barrels. He said is totally normal. I anticipated more.
CEO
Art’s sheer bloody mindless also scares me. It’s like he has to go out proving to the world how great an oilman he was. His legacy is everything to him & his ego his downfall. I have stayed this long as I do think he’s honest, tells it as it is & doesn’t dress up mutton as lamb. Don’t normally get that. However has imo made some bad calls & cost us PI’s dearly.
‘Long term’ share investors played him like a fiddle on those bonds. Absolute terrible deal & flipped them as soon as they could.
I worry he will continue on at any cost & will inadvertently continue to destroy SP value in his quest. After three dilutions, plus market playing us, I’ve made my choice.
Will be interesting to see SP in Aug 23
& Aug 24. Could be £1 or on the other hand +500m shares issued & at 7p.
Posting now to stamp in my history at 15p. Always continuing to learn. Hard fall this one.
GLA