RE: The gift that keeps on giving8 Jan 2020 16:27
I'm considering buying more. A great share.
The security software developer has amassed 430m users since its launch in 1988. Unlike its rivals, Avast offers free protection, then upgrades customers to paid-for services. About 12m spend money with the company.
The business model is working. Sales rose about 6% to $427m for the six months to June, driven by “strong growth” in cross-selling privacy products to customers using desktop computers.
Investors have been sweet on the company since August, when it said it was on track to hit the top end of its full-year sales target. The shares are up about 60% on the year, giving the Prague-based company a market value of £4.7bn.
Analysts expect more. Stefan Slowinski at Exane BNP Paribas has set a price target of 570p, implying an upside of 22.5% from the current 465.2p.
With only a small proportion of customers paying for services at the moment, there is more money to go after. Operating margins of 50% and strong cashflow give Avast the financial firepower to push into new markets.
And who could rule out a takeover? Sophos, its FTSE 250 peer and rival, was recently snapped up by American buyout fund Thoma Bravo in a £3.1bn deal. There remains plenty of private equity appetite for tech companies that throw off cash.
Avast was one of the biggest tech listings on the London market in 2018. Could 2020 be the year it returns to private hands?