Member Info for desertjoe

Lots of considered opinions there - Ash, John and Paul1D. Difficult for me to add much since we've got a Malignant Narcissist in command of our military (for now !) More and more folk (either side of the political divide) are swelling the call for impeachment and imho I really do think Trump is so twisted and bent up that he is going off his trolley with all the "fertilizer" heading his way. He somehow always gravitates to what he sees as powerful totalitarian leaders like Kim Jong-Un, Putin, Orban, Boris Johnson, Xi-Jinping, Netanyahu even....so why not Erdogan? Maybe it's the other way around 'cos he may think he can extract something from them to benefit his family coffers . However right now our media are focussing on the plight of the Kurds who helped defeat ISIS and are now being executed by (questionable?) Turkish Forces......and they are saying it's all Trump's fault for removing US Forces and giving the Turkish military a clear run into Northern Syria. I'm very concerned where this all goes when the UK Parliament is back in business and a new Council of Europe ( or whatever it's officially called) will rule Euroland takes their seats. We'll see how AAU fares soon enough when the stock markets open in a few hours. The and of last week was "manna from heaven" for me when UK bank shares and the value of sterling shot up. That made me "quids in". (lol). Rule Britannia (and Pelosi).

All good stuff, Paul1D and I have no quarrel with that. I'm impressed and pleased that you are aware of Hrant Dink. A "donmeh" type conversion affecting Jews similarly occurred in Spain (and subsequently Portugal) under the Alhambra Act of 1492 . The sentences under Turkish Article 301 are far more lenient than would have been the case for anti-national outbursts under the rule of either Franco or Salazar and it is time that Turkey should now be welcomed into the EU. Just for the record my paternal uncle survived being marched from Kut to Ankara as a PoW in 1916. Finally my 51st State bit was a wind-up especially for you. (I've been told that I have a "wicked"humor!. Definitely back to all things Ariana and let's hope our sp turns upward again after the weekend.

Not a threat, Paul1D ....I don't make threats....I take appropriate action. The question (which equally applies to the Japanese, the Germans, the "Ottomans" and even the Imperial British) is whether leopards, in time, can change their spots. For what it's worth, here is the current Kurdish view......

"Some Kurdish tribes played a role in the genocide, as they were an important tool used by the Ottoman authorities to carry out the killings.[235] Among modern Kurds, including major Kurdish parties like the Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP), and the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), most of them acknowledge the killings and apologize in the name of their ancestors who committed atrocities toward Armenians and Assyrians in the name of the Ottoman Empire".

To-date , Turkey has not apologized

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armenian_Genocide_recognition

Paul1D - . I would advise you that I have links to the Armenian diaspora over here but thank you very much for directing me to "Turkish Perspective" which is well written and illuminating . It is well known that De Gaulle was an anglophobe until death and there was mutual dislike between Winston, Franklin D , Uncle Joe and the General. "Perfidious Albion" again?

I think it unwise and perhaps unreasonable to continue this Off-Topic matter on this board, especially as I feel you and I have reached an impasse on Brexit, most probably because I have no affinity with the hard right and I feel that David Edgerton's article, which I have referred you to in "The Guardian", is nevertheless a a fair assessment of capitalistic progression in UK. Currently I see a 1% world order of wealthy, ambitious, powerful (or power-hungry) and perhaps even corrupt people who are intent on selfishly maintaining or even improving their position and lifestyle on this planet. I believe that Boris Johnson and Donald Trump to be among them together with the more famous (or infamous) historically-established financiers, bankers and the sort of "cabals" represented by the so-called "Bilderbergers" and similar . Having said that, I do not consider myself Marxist or left of center. The mistake of the Labour Party, imho, was to choose Ed Milliband instead of his brother David as successor to Gordon Brown. Thereafter it's gone badly downhill to the depths of Corbyn & Diane Abbot!

So, Paul1D, Enjoy your 2½ decades of snooze and awake to citizenship of our 51st State. (lolol)

Meantime our Ariana sp had seriously tumbled by the time I woke up this morning. Not too good but it's probably because of the Turkish incursion into Northern Syria and world concern for the safety of our (former?) Kurdish allies. Maybe for the first time our AAU investment is being unfortunately (literally!) affected by the geopolitics of the region. ?

I know this is somewhat "OT" but please indulge me in passing this on via this chatboard.

Paul1D - I'm neither advocating this guy's opinion nor opposing it but to someone outside the UK or the EU it seems a rather plausible evolution. Regards,DJ

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/oct/09/brexit-crisis-global-capitalism-britain-place-world?fbclid=IwAR3oi4pTbt7qInQnYwYCsyMmAQmkpQcDRd6QySI1cWS4fmFQt9Wj9EfSml4

Paul1D - I'm in no real position to challenge your comments because, according to your Referendum result, the majority vote was in favor of leaving the EU. Perhaps it would have been preferable if Cameron had not implemented such a choice. History will record a judgement on it in the fullness of time. I wish ya'all Good Fortune but it might be a bumpy and blameworthy ride for some of your folk. We are still arguing over the Confederate flag!

The Elephant is Boris Johnson. According to the media, Donald Tusk (president of the European Council) sent him this public Tweet...

"what’s at stake is not winning some stupid blame game. At stake is the future of Europe and the UK as well as the security and interests of our people. You don’t want a deal, you don’t want an extension, you don’t want to revoke, quo vadis?"

Go figure, my friends..... Sterling value has dropped again in the last week. AAU sp has dropped again today. Investors are worried. I keep saying this! There is just too much unrest without Boris' (or Trump's) shenanigans.

It's been an ongoing query on share chats for donkey's years whether rampers or de-rampers really do influence the sp.

However this Fraser guy CEO doesn't seem to realize that sensible opinions on these chat boards might just save a "newbie" hereon from putting his/her savings into a Company whose BoD are more interested in maintaining their own lifestyle than returning a little wealth to their private investors. AIM is full of them so caveat emptor and bless LSE and ADVN for your chance to be whingin' pommies !

It's not so difficult, Ash......lol.....try this ...... turkish.typeit.org

I find my emails go into Spañish when I drink enough Rompope ("Santa Clara"). That's something for you to try too, John!

Salud! DJ

Nice one Ash. Easy to follow and well detailed. I am also encouraged that your analysis, imho, indicates that we are invested in a reputable business as all too often with AIM the PIs get ripped off by some entrepreneurial scammer solely interested in sustaining a personal lifestyle for as long as possible. Thanks again for a great effort.

After listening carefully to the two interviews (thanks for the pointers Troajan & VanVan) I feel there will be a longer time lapse than I had originally anticipated before all Kerim's chickens get hatched and I fear Claret&Blue may well be proved correct with his latest posting " I don't believe we'll hit 3p by end of this year and I may be retired before we see Tavsan/Salimbas into fruition, but I do hope I'm wrong."

To me it was most illuminating that Kerim has specifically referred to dividends in these latest interviews but yet again the hint is that this will be something for the future.

All of which imho points to the urgency of acquiring that Gantt Chart to get some idea of the anticipated progression....hopefully to substantial riches. Without this those of us who are of "mature years" must now seriously consider whether it will only be our offspring who will benefit from our investment in Ariana or whether it is desirable to identify an opportunity elsewhere to seek a more immediate return to enjoy comfortable retirement. Accordingly I still hope we shall see at least 3p by next Easter even if by then the Company is borrowing again to fund further expansion. 'Nuff said!

VanVan - Pure ignorance on my part about the accomplishments of my fellow American, Henry Gantt. Obviously I've now googled him and, as you have suggested, his charting methods would provide me with the information I would like to see. To me it is not dissimilar to a "roadmap" concept . I'm not too happy to see today's sp when I awoke though. Ewwwww!

You've done a great job Ash. However in terms of "anticipate(ing) the possibility of the share price increasing " , on a personal note I would be looking for "most likely" rather than a "possibility" of good results and I would very much like to see a road map and timetable of what we might be anticipating in say the next three years or so. With my bourbon & ginger half full! DJ

Okay, VanVan and I fully concur with your views. As you say that "placing" and Beaufort are history and neither did our sp any good. What frightens me is that it is all so easy to get into an "expanding" scenario for a mining "minnow". As you suggest this can so easily take the firm into the area of unsecured loans when all kinds of promises become added....royalties, shares of minerals (like siphoning off any copper or silver finds) or simply paying higher rates. But in the worst case the company overreaches through their ambition and crashes. In a lesser case they never get rid of debt but soldier on for years while the bosses at least continue make a living. Unfortunately that neither rewards short-term or long-term investors (especially if there are no dividends) and I respectfully suggest that is not what most of us are looking for (or gambling upon) in here. Regards DJ

It seems to me that some serious questions of our concern have not been answered so far and much depends if we see a live presentation very soon. Your "nasty dent" comment, John, is most worrying to me and I have often referred to past pains elsewhere with AIM investments. I had hoped that Ariana's transition from explorer to producer would put such thoughts behind us but there may indeed be an unidentified enlarging elephant lurking in the room, very ambitious and a potential killer of upward share price movement . I guess many of us are anticipating a silver lining with loan payoffs around next Spring. It had better happen or my money goes into somewhere like Sandstorm or Franco-Nevada who spread their interests (and funds) far and wide in this industry. I've waited years to reach 2p here so I will hang in a while longer.

I must however take this opportunity to express my gratitude to M20ASH and all his financial assessment and interpretation at the present time. I freely admit I would be out of my depth thereto.

Hi Ash....but don't give up either your day job or the moonlight (lolol). You got me a little worried about the elephant meaning 'cos after all you spell color wrong and drive on the left so I checked things out with your Cambridge Dictionary which reads...

"If you say there is an elephant in the room, you mean that there is an obvious problem or difficult situation that people do not want to talk about.". Hence my blog. I thought I'd missed something, especially because I'm one of those people who as you have suggested "overlook Tavsan in comparison to the potential of Salinbas". Well now you've focussed me!
Regards, DJ

Yes, RD2U, and I freely admit I did specifically wonder if you might in fact be dicfromrugby in a new guise on here. I go backperhaps 20 years online with the said Richard from Rugby but, in truth, neither of us have used abuse or vulgarity to each other (lol) ...but relations sometimes got rather heated since I believed his tolerance for folk on my side of the pond is on a somewhat low level whereas he appears to appreciate Uncle Vlad and the Chinese approach more than I do. We differ too on the role of gold as an investment ...I see it for commercial trading or personal jewellery rather than stashing solid chunks in your bank vault (or under floorboards!). I think this coming week is going to be very interesting indeed....and not just AAU. I am concerned though that your sterling value has fallen recently. It seems to move up on "bremain" and down on "brexit". Hopefully it will be done & dusted by New Year and our share price will be at least 3p. Regards DJ

Sorry, Ash, but I didn't see Tavsan as "the elephant" but rather something already identified which could bode well for us all ,albeit perhaps in the fullness of time. Last June Proactive Investors commented...

" Red Rabbit’s nearby Tavsan Project is the next project off the rank. Tavsan remains “on schedule” to complete formal environmental impact assessment submission late this year 2019, with a feasibility study to follow and, subject to financing and permits, potentially leading to the mine’s starting to be developed some time in 2020. Development of the Tavsan project would increase the output of the Red Rabbit joint-venture from annual production of 25,000 ounces to 50,000.
2019 is also is on target to be the busiest year of exploration activity to date."

Further reports this month confirmed studies were ongoing and some further information on the project was expected next month (October) with possible work commencing early 2020.

Having said that, my ini and will now let yaáll tial "elephantine reaction" to you is now very much superseded because it appears that while I have been sleeping ( due to my 8 hours time difference) VanVan, John and your very goodself have been very busy sorting a most agreeable response to Ariana's invitation to participate in a forthcoming online discussion. Accordingly I thank ya'all and trust you will in turn now sleep soundly for the night. For my part I have some maintenance to do on my sailboat now the day is cooling off. Cheers, DJ

Hi RD2U. Welcome to this Board. Previously I too have contributed to iii for several years until its format was changed to something I found intolerable. However...I retained the same "moniker" for use on here whereas other posters have chosen differing names. I don't remember seeing your raredragon2u appearing on iii.

However during the last 2 years I have several times advocated dividends and/or "rights issues"as a means to perhaps elevating our share price. It was a kinda simple knee jerk reaction from me which did not receive much support and I think the recent posts by both Ash and John might well have hit the spot why such actions were not adopted by Ariana BoD. Maybe it will be re-visited in the future when the priorities are no longer debt repayment or new projects/exploration.