RE: Dividend Suspension5 Aug 2025 19:07
Bunny, I would have thought the opposite might play out. Since the market, and most analysts are forward looking perhaps those needing income would have already sold, on the update of March 25. Perhaps, some funds will will be buying SFR now, in the anticipation of a dividend being resumed and also the offer of capital growth. Listening to many fund manager interviews, they tend to be far longer term than your average investor. This is my reason for buying in here, I can easily see a scenario where a dividend is resumed and up to that point we might also see capital growth too - it could take 18 months however. SFR seems a well run company, that is a play on the economy, and should be an early recover in the cycle.
The broker note talks about resuming dividends in 12 months, but I think it will obvious either way from following the economy and any contracts they announce.
We understand that management’s intention is to return to paying a dividend as soon as practically possible. Given that the order book is picking up and the opportunities further out look exciting, there is a chance that Severfield may declare an interim dividend, though we believe it is more likely that the board will wait until the full year to consider a dividend declaration. We are currently forecasting a 1.5p per share dividend in respect of FY26, which implies dividend cover of 1.7x on an underlying basis. This 1.5p per share dividend implies a cost of £4.4m and is included in our FY27 net debt estimate of £38.7m.