Revenue19 Jul 2018 12:24
at work and after a meeting and the SP falling after what is in relative terms positive - current situation for Frontera is clearly better than expected, but the failure of UD2 is obviously the main talking point
UD2 needs a SideTrack - it will cost a few million and will probably be shelved for a year while we progress on Oil, estimates of recoverable oil are increasing and the revenue is increasing
T39 - 529 barrels a day
T45 - 270 barrels a day
Dino2 - 315 barrels a day
Total - 1,114 barrels a day
less 10% for downtime and reduction from initial flow rates, we will quite comfortably be producing 1,000 barrels of light sweet crude oil.
1,000 x $60 x 365 = $21,900,000 in revenue
1,000 x $5 x 365 = $1,825,000 in Cost of Extraction
Gross Profit of $20m a year based on this - i am going to forecast $8m Gross profit too 31/12/2018
We have yet to include any other zones or JV Well in November, reasonable we will be touching 1,500 barrels of oil per day come January 2019
1500 x $60 x 365 = $32,850,000
1500 x $5 x 365 = $2,737,500
Gross Profit is circa $30,112,500 for the year 2019
Based on these revenues, £55m Market Cap is utter ridiculous, especially since we have circa $7.2bn in Oil Reserves in Trabiani alone
Today is a grin and bear it day, people will be disappointed on the Gas, i am, i think it was known and priced in since it was left off presentation, i think a lot of people knew hence the sells, today we see some of us investors leaving but i think we will get updated flow results quite soon,i would like Zaza to provide an update on the quantity of oil actually sold in that delivery that was tweeted, a bit more on the expected cashflow other than people doing calculations based on basic information