RE: GOLD going mental13 Jun 2016 11:11
Certainly plausible reasoning in the short term. If it goes above $1305 then it invalidates the potential head and shoulders and should push higher. For a classic H&S pattern, gold is pushing the limits currently in the mid-1280s.
I agree with him about the EUR/USD rate. The Euro makes over 50% of the DXY composite rate so is the most important component. In the event of Brexit (which I still consider unlikely though getting more possible based on recent polling), I think the Euro will be almost as badly impacted as the pound as a number of other countries will be pressed for their own say on remaining in. This is likely to cause the USD to soar which, at least in the short term, will act as a negative on PMs. As always, it is difficult to call which pull will win out - uncertainty or USD strength! At the moment, it looks like uncertainty is winning but I suspect that the USD holds the key for now.