Edison Research update25 May 2018 19:26
The paradox that is Rene continues.
Edison Research, which is well respected, has updated their opinion of Rene's worth following the Capital day the company ran to promote its involvement in Exosomes. Edison continues to forecast a high sp valuation - adjusting for the 100 for 1 shares change, gives a value of 874p - which underlines the lunacy of the current sp. They also confirm there is sufficient cash to see it through into 2020 before which the current trials will have shown success or not. So, there is massively more cash in the company than the current share price with no value whatsoever on the possibility of successful trial outcomes - current stages showing positive results.
QUOTE: A new (existing) platform emerges
ReNeuron�s capital markets day showcased its exosome nanomedicine platform. ReNeuron�s scientists, clinicians and its collaborators described the origin and functions of these naturally occurring sub-cellular vesicles. ReNeuron has been working on exosomes for many years since discovering them as a by-product of its genetically modified human neural stem cell line (CTX). The expert panel also described the potential use and applications of exosomes.
From oncology therapeutics to drug delivery
Through the development of ReNeuron�s CTX cell line products for chronic stroke and retinitis pigmentosa (which continue to advance in clinical studies), applications for the exosome nanomedicine platform have become apparent. Native exosomes migrate to the liver if injected intravenously in healthy animals and to the lymph nodes if injected intraperitoneally. Exosomes also migrate to tumours, opening up the possibility of a targeted cancer therapy because exosomes can be loaded with chemotherapeutic agents, and also oncology diagnostics. New drugs such as mRNAs need a delivery mechanism to protect them from degradation. The loading of exosomes with drugs can both stabilise a labile drug and target its delivery. Thus, the exosome platform could at the very least provide ReNeuron with a source of licensing revenue and at most, a new therapeutic oncology product.
Valuation: Minor changes ahead of FY results
In recent publications of Edison Healthcare Insight, we increased our estimated FY19 R&D expenses to account for the conduct of two Phase II studies. Since then, we have made one change to our model incorporating our estimate of the FY18 cash. Our risk-adjusted NPV valuation of ReNeuron is �276m, or 8.74p per share (previously �290m). Reneuron�s market capitalisation is c �22m � below cash and ascribing no technology value for a company in two Phase II studies or the recently disclosed exosome platform. This may make our assumption of an injection of funding prior to the end FY19 of increasing significance. End Quote.