RE: Proactive video, linked-in post & Vox market article28 Mar 2023 09:51
I have written off all of the UK projects. I just cannot see any progress in this current economic climate. Not seeing any financing deals getting over the line and if anything positive happens here (UK) in 2023 it will just be a bonus. I seriously feel that EQT should abandon the UK, there is just not the will for these types of projects.
It is all about projects in Europe and getting North Fork done.
Just like it is a massive red herring to keep using broker SP targets as a guide to the possibilities here, I feel that the continual reference to their guidance notes (and company guidance) on what is expected to happen and when is a stretch given what we have seen over the past 12-15 months vs expectation.
Cost overruns and delays are to be expected, so I do not see all the projects to go to plan.
Yes, we will see progression, but the expectation of delivery vs expectation at the start of last year quickly moved from anticipation of good things in 2022 to expectation in 2023, and already that trust and promise has been eroded.
Projects will get over the line, but likely not the big deals we are hoping for.
The hope is that we can use these successes to refinance and stop this endless cycle of small and damaging fund raises.
EQT are clearly walking a tightrope right now. As posted before, it is all about delivery. Closing financing deals and getting projects over the line to generate cashflow - the hope of the latest news (Limoges) leading to some SP stability on the low 20's already looks done today when markets in general (AIM the exception) are up.
Delivery leads to trust. Trust gives rise to sentiment and both lead to the confidence to invest.
EQT have much to do.
Not phrases I like, but it is all jam tomorrow, kicking the can down the road. This needs to change
gla