RE: RNS2 Nov 2020 23:55
First Posted on the 18th Oct. I still believe there is a modicum of plausibility to my post, Post...
"My thought process follows some simple facts and extrapolates to what has motivated Redmile to look at a small £24m MCap British Biotech company. Redmile are a well know and well respected Bio Investment Fund that aids and nurtures early Biotech's and ultimately passes them on to major pharma once the technology has been proven or at least looks very likely to pass phase 3 and become approved.
Point 1 , Our BOD are aware of how big the impact will be on the SP / MCap if MODI1 destroys four different solid tumours in the first two or three months in our first human trial.
Point 2 , BionTech know Scancell very well and have had the opportunity to get a good look inside the science. BionTech are very close to Genentech who are ultimately owned by Roche.
Point 3 , Due to previous failures and ill advised purchases Big Pharma do prefer to pay a premium for a de-risked investments but it has to be in the right technology at the right time.
( Cancer Vaccines were a definitely a 'no no' 10 years ago but are now on the verge of being the new 'have to have' tech for Big Pharma ).
Point 4 , It is Redmile's 'raison d'etre ' is to provide the bridge ( in terms of cash investment ) to help small innovative early biotechnology companies to become the proven de-risked 'low hanging fruit' that Big Pharma are able to purchase.
Point 5 , Redmile probably approached Scancell already knowing what their end game was and who they would tie the other end of the deal to. Nothing they do will be in isolation there will be no 'wing and a prayer' to any of their investment decisions.
My conclusion : if there is an unseen hand at work, we should not be surprised if its someone who knows the company well. For example a company like Genentech, Roche.
This tussle between Vulpes and Redmile is all about the journey forwards and who owns the lions share at 'End Game' for a proven technology.
Chester.