Discodav e456117 May 2014 16:15
Hello DD. I don't know about enlightening, but ok. The Zulu Principle comes from the book by Jim Slater - "The Zulu Principle - how to make extraordinary profits from ordinary shares". It was written in the early 90s so some of it is out of date since it is pre internet. However, most of it still applies. I would recommend you get yourself a copy, it has transformed by investing from rather hitting and generally missing, throwing darts in the dark to mostly (but not always) successful investing.
Most ;of what is called the Zulu Principle is common sense. The more we can know about a company and research the better. The more research we can do into the "Zulus" the better informed we will be and can make better informed decisions. Not just hoping for the best or "taking a punt". It doesn't mean of course that we will always get it right, we can't possibly know what nasty events lie ahead but we can at least identify the nasty events behind which will have affected the share price to date.
So, the criteria used in the ZP for selecting small dynamic growth shares are the following:
1. A positive growth rate in earnings per share in at least 4 of the last 5 years.
2. A low price earnings ratio relative to the growth rate.
3. An optimistic chairman's statement.
4. Strong liquidity,low borrowings and high cash flow.
5. A substantial competitive advantage.
6. Something new.
7. A small market capitalisation.
8. High relative strength to the shares.
9. A more than nominal dividend yield.
10. A reasonable asset position.
11,. Management should have a significant shareholding.
Jim Slater (author) states that the first 5 points are mandatory, 6-8 are important and 9-11 are desirable.
It is a very strict set of criteria and in truth it can be near impossible to identify almost any share that meet all of them. In my opinion we have to cut some slack and decide what criteria we want to concentrate on.
Personally I would probably ease up a little on the 5 year record because there may have been general market set backs which will be reflected in the results and are not company specific.
Something new?, hmm, that is probably very difficult to identify, most companies will have competitors in their market.
Relative strength?, well, yes ideally and usually absolutely, but at present many companies have taken a kicking yet remain fundamentally very strong. I would usually look for a share price within 20% of its 52 week high, but wouldn't rule out completely a little below this, depending on the circumstances. At this point I may think about what sector the share is in because sectors come into and go out of favour and it could be swimming against the tide.
Optimistic Chairman's statement, absolutely 100%!, anything negative is into the sin bin.
Regarding the low PEG factor, Jim Slater would be looking for a PEG of 0.75 or lower. Some may want to raise that to nearer 1.0.
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