RE: RE: Shareholders need missing information to make informed decision...28 Dec 2025 21:45
1. Ron Hochstein and Jamie Beck have no direct influence on SolGold – This is the gist. Ron Hochstein → CEO of Lundin Gold,
Jamie Beck → CEO of NGEx Minerals. Both companies belong to the Lundin Group, but: *) They have no shareholding, no board seat, and no formal role in SolGold.
*) Therefore, they cannot “hold the Chinese back” in the SolGold takeover process. At most, they can exert indirect influence through relationships with BHP or Newmont, but even that is limited.
2. The Lundin Group has no strategic interest in Cascabel. The Lundins operate in: Ecuador (Fruta del Norte), Argentina (Filo del Sol, NGEx, Josemaría), and Chile (Vicuña District). But not in Cascabel or SolGold. This means: *) They have no financial interest in blocking Jiangxi. *) They have no operational reason to intervene. *) They have no strategic overlap with Cascabel.
3. BHP and Newmont did not challenge the Jiangxi bid. This is crucial. BHP diluted its influence in SolGold. Newmont has no strategic reason to defend Cascabel. Neither party challenged the 28p bid. If BHP or Newmont don't prepare a counteroffer, then Ron Hochstein or Jamie Beck can't do anything at all.
4. InvestorPanda's statement is probably wishful thinking. It sounds appealing: "The Lundins are going to stop the Chinese." But realistically: They have no position in SolGold. They have no mandate. They have no strategic reason. They have no formal power. They have no incentive to intervene. It's a narrative that reassures investors, but doesn't correspond to the actual power structure.
5. What could the Lundin group do? There are two theoretical scenarios in which they could play a role: *) Scenario A — They form a consortium with BHP or Newmont. But for that to happen, BHP or Newmont must first be willing to make a move. So far, there's been no sign of that. *) Scenario B — They want to expand a strategic copper position in Ecuador. But Cascabel doesn't fit into their existing portfolio. Their focus is on the Vicuña district Argentina/Chile), not Ecuador. My conclusion: InvestorPanda's statement is unrealistic. Ron Hochstein and Jamie Beck have no direct influence on SolGold. They have no strategic interest in Cascabel. They cannot block a takeover process. They cannot launch a counteroffer without the support of BHP or Newmont. And that support isn't there. *) **The only parties that can block Jiangxi are: Another Chinese state-owned group, BHP, Newmont, An unexpected third party**,
But at this time, there is no evidence that any of these parties is preparing a counteroffer.