RE: Bizarre...smokescreen...? Part 24 Nov 2021 19:42
Look CD, I can't argue that we've seen a lack of material deliverables this year. Some have been slated for Q4 but others, like the CEO announcement and news on the lower priority regionals could have reasonably been expected by now.
But yes, I would give this board another year. For me, SOLG is one investment in a portfolio, and I'm in favour of the gains we deserve rather than the quickest route to some sort of value appreciation.
I believe sticking with this board is the best way to do that but they must get back on track and deliver without failure in 2022.
If you vote this board out then you're rolling a dice with 6 of the same sides. You're flipping a coin with two of the same sides.
BHP could probably buy SolGold for a fair price with their December FCF and they could fund Alpala to production with their Q1 2022 FCF, so a takeover certainly has merits in terms of asset development. But, BHP are showing they have no intention of going things the right way. If they were they'd bid 60-80p and meet most people in the middle.
They have shown their cards, and those cards involve forging a board influence by removing those who stand in their way. After gaining an influence they put that to good use, and that inevitably leads to issuing equity to BHP, and there's no guarantee that would be at a price we deem to be fair.
That may not bother you. You'll no doubt try and trade your way around it, but there's long term investors who could quite realistically be staring down the barrel at BHP fundraisers at a chunky discount. That isn't an assumption by the way, it's a stick on guarantee. It's the way a BHP influenced board engineers a 30% stake for BHP which then kicks off the mandated offer. The problem is that it would take 12-18 months for all that to come about and by that time the 52w high could be sub 20p.
I suspect you realise what happens from there.