RE: Confident3 Jun 2020 08:55
Agreed on the basic sentiment of your post Pumpandtrump if not the specific price projections.
I think on rig mobilisation leading to actual spudding, we can reasonably expect a somewhat higher share price than the 4-5p you state, whilst completely disregarding some of the rather absurd figures being bandied around (referring to relative market caps of BPC at those prices v bona fide major oil producers).
However, some of those figures are still bandied about here regardless of the aforementioned, real life comparisons......??
The 120M dilution shares will likely have the 25-30% knock on effect on the price, especially considering the massive uplift over the last week, from short term trader recommendations (refer to Zak Mir).
The family group aren't investing in a property or business with established revenues, so it's bizarre to say they wouldn't realize 'immediate profits' off a derisking strategy but hold for the result of a drill - most here will judiciously derisk before drill results but presume the Family group with 120M 1.27p shares are outright 'gamblers' - that's pure BB mentality.
We also have the over half year wait for actual rig mobilisation and a 2 month further wait onto 2021 for drill results - do we expect no price erosion for the vast majority of that time period?
Some would argue it's going to go to 10p by the end of the week and sit there for all that time, lol.....again, pure BB mentality.
I have a considerable holding here and sitting comfortably in an ISA. What the price does in the meantime is no real concern looking forward to 2021. However, neither would I be unrealistic on actual shorter term movements.
If we see a price erosion over the coming months to circa2p, which I would suspect will be the case, I'd pick some more up - at least that's a lot more realistic than those stating 120M shares @1.27p about to be dumped into the market 'won't have an effect' - that's just silly - as is the expectation that a 7month 'hanging around' for actual operations, won't further erode the price.
I hope that presents a balanced and fair perspective.
Atb & have a lovely day all