General observation1 Oct 2024 13:03
Back in the day, just the anticipation that a junior oil company wouuld achive a farm in with a super major would have sent the share price up massively. Now it does not seem to make much difference at all, even when it is confirmed and announced!
In fact, looking at the junior oil sector generally, most appear to have lost 95% of their share price value over the last ten years or so. Even companies with significant cash pile are trading below their book value.
So what's happening?
I think the junior oil sector was driven by a lot of gamblers who were looking for multiple bagging returns (myself included). There was always a flavour of the month stock that everyone would pile into, driving up the price, before moving onto the next.
My guess is that most of those gamblers have now left the junior oil sector and moved into another market that offers 1000+ percentage increases - cyrpto currency.
If you are young and just starting out in the working world, with no chance of affording your own property, then you probably think crypto is your best bet to make a massive return on a small outlay.
The whole crypto market appears to be another 'Tulip Mania' scenario - essentially worthless assets pumped up to astronomical values - but it has been going for over a decade now and no sign yet that anyone has lost faith in the big hitters like bitcoin.
I am sure that one day it will all end in tears, but for now it appears to be sucking the life out of our market.