RE: Audley bond security over mining assets valued at AU$286m? What assets?30 Oct 2021 18:48
The asset value is beyond exaggerated
Hellyer
- Will only produce until 2026
- Claimed EBITDA is grossly inflated by a hedge and the non reporting of management costs / overheads. Actual EBITDA prob closer to $10-15mm.
- That’s enough to repay ING, just
- Asides from ING, Doyle and Dean signed royalty agreements with Deans friends Rivi/Kiwoz/Maui/RCA (guys who are reportedly trying to take over now with Audley/Levy) that take another $10mm+ per year. NQ never publicly disclosed details but it appears these deals mop up every $$ left after ING, and if no $$$ available they get equity, meaning they've diluted shareholders out and will ultimately retake control
- Who gets paid first after ING, Audley or these royalty guys?
- We haven’t even factored in management overheads and the ridiculous salaries these guys were paying themselves. I’m told HQ guys running the financing schemes had no operational involvement and drew £7mm+ per year in salary. How much of a pay cut will they take in a rescue / NQ 2.0?
- Add in rehabilitation costs etc and bondholders will be lucky to see pennies at the end of it all IMHO
Beaconsfield
- NQ paid A$2mm. Maybe someone will pay $5mm now?
Ukalunda/Square Post
- I don’t know anyone who can tell me how/why this is worth anything
Barnes Hill
- This is why many invested and believed the integrated asset / refinery plan that Lenigas was pitching. NQ acted as if they owned this project and had a massive NPV however I recently found out it was just an option and the option has expired. So it’s worth zilch.
Mining equipment on site isn’t worth a fraction of its reported value unless there’s production and significant mine life ahead. And that’s INGs.
Will bondholders/shareholders get a 2020 audit to know what’s real?
At first brush, I don’t see any $$ left on the table here. And bondholders can kiss any future recoveries goodbye if Begbies allow Levy/Doyle/Dean to return for a second act. There’s probably more $$$ in the Doyle cabal coffers.