RE: Happy to be wrong16 Sep 2021 15:26
LLoyds, the government hasn't yet announced anything!!!!!! 1st rule of the markets is do not make an assumption. What tends to end up in the policy very often is not quite what you were expecting. The critical thing is whether the lockdown lobby will again move to find some form of sabotage of any opening up of travel. And there is a lot in the detail to look out for. For example, removing the pre travel outbound test is meaningless as most countries require a negative covid test before arrival. I confirmed that if flying out on a short shopping [errr business] trip, and returned within 72 hrs, could the outbound lateral flow test be used for the fit to fly inbound and it was confirmed. If the outbound test is removed, I will still need the test for the inbound, I will still need the outbound to enter Italy. So at the end of the day the lockdown lobby may have preserved a non change policy. Now in the case of Greece, you just need to show your vaccination. But what is the probability that the lockdown lobby will conjure something up for people flying to Greece?? On past performance, pretty high.
UNLESS - unless the lockdown lobby has been stopped. Greece will be a good test. Will the UK still require a fit to fly from every country? If a country has very low infection and high vaccination, would a fit to fly form that country be required? We'll see. And then, the 2 day test, switching to a cheaper lateral flow rather than PCR. That's the proposal, but will the lockdown lobby find a way to force 2 lateral flow tests. The lockdown lobby has significantly sabotaged travel so far, I want to see hard evidence they are in a box with the lid firmly nailed down.
I think the best place to assess how free we are will be Greece as it will be a very high volume route for the half-term and only requires vaccination proof for entry. So no outward test. How many of the return leg?? That will be the question.