Member Info for big-blue

It was a major crisis in 2015. Post-covid it is a perfect crisis to be used by one campaign or another. Certainly the the extent is hugley exposed as economies start up and they find everybody is back in their home country and found alternative income streams.

One significant other sector which might also decide enough is enough are water works people. They provide a critical service but are paid a pittance. When they hear about truckers being on 40 to 60 grand compared to the mid 20's to mid 30s [top] the water works engineers are getting, they will call it. How long will we manage if the drinking water is turned off and the sewage stops being pumped and treated?

Daytrader, it is not so much that things are centrally organised, more a case of like minded people who have the position to steer policy and events towards the aims of the shared philosophy as opportunities arise. These ideologists know they just have to bide their time and an opportunity will present itself. The driver crisis has been around a long time. Notice how the Brexit remainers have jumped on it suddenly from a number of different angles and the narratives on mass media, TV especially. Turn the situation for the purposes of the remain on-going campaign to try and demonstrate Brexit was supposed to have been one big error.
There is a significant part of the climate change ideology set against aviation. There are a number of competing philosophies at once of course, the open borders globally campaign, the EU commission owns everybody and everything campaign, the hysterical climate change campaign, the anti Trump/true democracy leave-it-to-the -intelligencia-elites campaign, the it-is-everybody-else's-fault-but-mine-empathy campaign and so on. They often feed off each other. Last night there was a news piece on coastal erosion in the UK specifically stating it was due to climate change. Latter, under the breath a brief statement was made that it had actually been going on for a few hundred years. Well in fact it has been going on for a few thousand years since the ice retreated and the sea carved out the North Sea and English channel which is still ongoing today. But notice how it is interpreted for the convenience of 'proving' climate change [now questions allowed].

The great tyre shortage of summer 2022 will be blamed on Brexit/climate change/Aviation [delete as appropriate when we get there and which one is the cause celeb of the moment].

I think the big issue will be fuel trucks at some European airports and routes suspended because of that. Quite literally, some airports that have fuel by pipe supply may become aviation filling stations with aircraft landing simply to refuel mid route!

What are the causes of the HGV driver shortage?
There are many factors that are contributing to the shortage of qualified drivers, here are some examples that have been attributed to the shortage.

"More directives from the EU
The introduction of the controversial Drivers CPC has meant experienced drivers are required to take extra training. This was seen as too much for many drivers who chose to retire rather than complete the Drivers CPC."

https://www.returnloads.net/hgv-driver-shortage/

Take your bloody European Directives and stuff 'em where the sun don't shine.

MyLuck, do explain how Brexit is blamed for an issue that has been a significant issue before the referendum was even announced?
https://www.commercialfleet.org/news/truck-news/2015/11/23/hgv-driver-shortage-at-crisis-point-as-critics-question-government-steps-to-address-issue
Note the date in the article.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-33141819
Note the date of the announcement here.

https://www.returnloads.net/hgv-driver-shortage/
this one is even more interesting as it discusses the driver shortage and possible causes - - IN 2015

Brexit? You people using Brexit as an excuse for everything are so shallow.

It is true the aviation fuel is supplied by a pipe network to the airports from the refineries. However, additives and production products are required for the refining, including filtration. The supply chain is weak and will grow weaker as a switch to supermarket supplies and petrol stations is made. I can see tanker drivers being diverted from airports to the petrol stations, all over Europe. The quick fix with work visas will fail because it is not a Brexit issue. The only way to tempt drivers back will be with mega bonuses. And they are already being paid elsewhere in the EU. There might well be some problems developing at the airports fueling the planes if the managers are not careful and bump up the salaries sooner rather than later. Ironically it was the lockdown on borders and travel initially applied in a very harsh manner internally in the EU that resulted in drivers being almost forcibly repatriated to their home countries. Now they are back and have local employment much better than 10 years ago and no incentive to return to working away from home long distances. Personally I don't think we will have too much disruption at UK airports, but there could be some significant knock on effects with aircraft being stranded abroad due to fuel supply issues, especially at more remote airports not on the european pipe networks. The big return to the skies might well be reduced.

Is this issue a result in some crafty interference? Are we about to see the kind of sabotaging of the industry as seen before? The fuel supply issue is just starting. It will be interesting to see whether aviation is given high priority or the situation is taken advantage of or used to keep aviation subdued by special ops sabotage!!!! With the hysterical environmentalist zealots, you never know. And in Europe, you can bet they will be trying to poaching drivers from the UK rather than the UK poaching EU drivers saying Europe has a higher priority because of their self importance over there [France response to subs for example]. I wouldn't put it past the EU to actually take drivers passports off them and stop them crossing the channel to ensure they don't go to work in the UK. Fantasy?? Lunacy?? Well let's see!!!!!!!! I know what these people are like in the commission. I've worked in the inner sanctum.

Interesting shift in the narrative for a short time. The driver shortage was absolutely due to Brexit. Nuff said. But, news broadcasts tonight dropping in the point there are bigger shortages in Europe (commercial radio) and this has been building up for years (BBC/ITN TV). But this is in the reporters narrative against distracting visual pictures, the minister speaking it has already been pulled from broadcasts on radio earlier in the day reverting back to the editorial narrative. Talk about sweeping it under the carpet - North Korea would be impressed with this standard of uniform narrative making. Remainers are still bouncing off the walls.

You've got years and years and years of this sh.it to come until you go to a polling booth and vote to return!!!!!

I'm a bit more up market these days with my chilled liebfraumilch. One up on you all again!

Well so far adding in the cashless purchase new Easy J shares to the existing holding, I am overall up 5.45% compared to the original book cost pre-RI dilution. Without the new shares, the dilution alone gives a loss of -15.4% - working out rather well so far.

This is why I give it a 25% chance the points of entry allowed will be limited. This is probably the most significant of the details needed. If a quarantine period is required, the opening up af transatlantic routes will be meaningless. This the .gov site.

"Demonstrating your COVID-19 status
The USA has not yet confirmed that it will accept the UK’s proof of COVID-19 recovery and vaccination record. You should follow the entry rules for unvaccinated people. Your NHS appointment card from vaccination centres is not designed to be used as proof of vaccination.

The CDC has stated that, in their guidance on what constitutes someone who is fully vaccinated, COVID-19 vaccines that have been listed for emergency use by the World Health Organisation such as the AstraZeneca/Oxford and Covishield vaccines, are recognised by the US Government. How this guidance is interpreted will vary depending on the locality in the US. More details are on the CDC website."

Could somebody please post to guesswork that this is not a private chat board for a select few of like minded people. If he wants to set up an exclusive chat, one in which he can moderate the posters, he can set one up for free on ADVFN. People who can not tolerate alternative opinions to their own or the concept of free speech can follow him to his bb idle.

Easy J nearly up double IAG. Was the aeroplane spotted earlier at Inverness an Easy J? It would explain the general increase in sp and especially for Easy J.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGVoSvhasF8

This is what it feels like holding an airline share. Scream!!!

entering the double barrel role on the smiler...... lol

A comment on the news about two days ago was fuel lorry drivers get the top pay band of about £60,000. I raised an eyebrow! Many moons ago I was thinking of learning HGV driving as a kind of hobby, and for the buzz. I should have done it!

One thing that will create a bit of relief would be to abandon on testing of lorry drivers if they have a vacc certificate. The border testing is putting off a lot of journeys.

Not sure where they are supposed to get all these drivers from by opening the borders. There are major shortages all across the EU, Germany and Poland in much worse situation than us. It all comes down to the change requiring the Class C to be passed before higher levels. Yes, an EU law which we stupidly copied and pasted into UK law. Brexit remainers can jump around all they want believing they have found proof positive Brexit was some sort of mistake. There is a massive shortage of lorry drivers all across the EU and it was being raised as a problem as far back as 2015, well before there was any hint of a referendum!!!!!!!

Environmentalist goon on CH4 news last night. Claimed that a 1 degree rise to the 2.5 Paris limit would result in all ice on land melting and rising sea levels by 20m. Remember a few basic thermodynamic truths I posted yesterday? How credible then is the idea all the ice on land will melt even if all ice was currently at 0c now. And it was noticeable that this knowall was careful to avoid the water displacement trap which they are all careful about now. And bear in mind that is an average 1 degree, so it could be 3 hotter at the equator and -1 cooler where there is ice! The ice could be colder. This goes to show the false argument using statistical derivatives and then comparing the real world to them. Headline news, every day this year has been above or below the average at every weather station for all measurements [wind, rain, sun, temp...]! Therefore there must be climate change? And as for the 20m rise in sea level. I remember Trevor MacDonald showing a map of the UK submerged under a 10m rise when the north pole melts back in the 1990's on News at Ten (back in the day when the Archimedes principle was temporarily suspended from the physics of the Earth). It was nuts then, to call 20m now is just plain crazy. Do you know how much water would be required? It is absolutely nuts. There is nowhere near that amount of water on land. And the amount of energy required to melt all that ice? Even if you did start at 0c.

But the rub of it is. Was anything that goon said challenged or questioned? This so called expert had just made uttley crazy predictions that basic elementary physics blasts to pieces. But no accountability whatsoever. And you still want to believe that when a mileage cap is introduced per person over a 3 year rolling period which allows maybe one med trip every three years to 'save the planet', you think any voice opposing is going to get any sort of platform or traction in stopping it? It took mass media more than a decade to accept the archimedes principle. As we are now, getting the acceptance of the next most elementary principle, melting of ice, is going to take two or three times as long. And there are mountains of other major errors before we get into the false and doctored data accounting to fit models, sensor misreading and so much more. It is all out there, it is all known about but it is massively suppressed to keep the lie and the fraud going. Who would hold airline shares long term?

Think big sundezan, lift the ban for UK half-term. I would expect Boris will have informed Biden about the UK school timetable and how many millions the US theme parks could make if the executive order is removed by second week in October! According to the UK .gov travel advice the Astra jab will be recognised under WHO. The only detail left is the paperwork but the task group has had a few weeks to work on that. I would not rule out the possibility that some key hubs could be allowed to accept UK vacc proofs from mid October. Limited number because of the basic logistics of trying to roll out the systems in every airport - there are wide differences between states on vacc recognition systems. However, JFK, Atlanta, Dallas, LA, Orlando ect, would be more than enough to get in the country. Connecting internally from the hubs is very easy then. I'm going to give it a 25% probability there will be UK tourists arriving within UK half-term. That will push the sp to the 195 limit of my prediction.

However, caveat - we do not know the outcome of the financial discussions yet. That has been left hanging in the air, all we know is no 'emergency' tapping of funds from shareholders.

Hit my end of Sept predictions, but there is a lot of detail re US yet so I am still confident of my range.

3. US opens up (together with 2). 175-195. A lot will depend on what rules are applied such as with testing, any quarantine, whether there is access to the whole country or states are able to impose restrictions. Minimal restrictions and the upper 195 is likely, a suite of restrictions, then 175.

I'm now worried I'm being stalked glenn.

sundanca, are you the black knight from Monty Python and the Holy Grail? It doesn't seem to matter how much is chopped off, you still carry on as if everything is perfectly OK.