Holding on to mine10 Jul 2012 21:56
This SeaEnergy (SEA) matter is not simple to decide. The company is to buy in c. 28% of shareholdings tendered at 36p - although, given that some will not tender and assuming that I have read/understood this correctly, the actual redemption will be of the order of 30% of shareholdings. The problem is to value the residual holdings. There might be about 25p per share cash (net of tax?) and a holding in Lansdowne perhaps worth a further 25p per current SeaEnergy share (after allowing for tax?). Therefore one must ask oneself: Given that taking the cash will mean that a buy of SeaEnergy right now at 32p will yield a net of tender proceeds cost of, say, 30p, would one buy SeaEnergy right now? I guess the answer is yes since although Lansdowne has got problems ahead by the end of 2012 it also has the potential for great success - such that the value per SeaEnergy share of Lansdowne might be as much as 50p a share. I bought 100,000 at c. 32p this morning on the basis that tangible net asset value post the tender will be of the order of 50p per share