Member Info for bav1975

More about Rachel from accounts this morning… setting the scene for tanking the UK economy in 3 weeks

Well only need a percent rise or so...to hit £12...

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/vietnamese-airline-vietjet-orders-100-airbus-jets-40-rolls-royce-engines-2025-10-30/

@Badlands....£11.80 hit :)

@mark_rs...good list of catalysts if they go RR's way...prob would add RR's credit rating to the mix from S&P, Moody, Fitch etc...the stronger the rating the more chance of so called 'whales' jumping in for the ride..

...even if you wanted to you ain't going without a plane.. :), hopefully bodes well for Airbus/RR orders in the near future...lets see what their Q3 earnings look like later on this evening......

Nearly wine o clock time....have a good evening all.

Https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c17pny4vwvyo

Nearly forgot - Airbus Q3 results on Wednesday - might also be a nice. ‘bell weather’ indicator for the 13th also

@PEAKDREAD, surprised you have not started a poll already of what people think the price of RR will be EOP on the 13th Nov...

Personally I think we will be around £11:86 based on a gradual uptick over the next few weeks...and a little bit of a climb on the 13th itself.

Hopefully we break £11.40 this week...Fed Rate decision on Weds...rate cut expected could kick start a few things...and hopefully positive noises from the east this week regarding trade..

Have a good week all..

(Cut & Paste)...

Net profit for the quarter end (30th Sep) rose 32.9% YoY to US$2.52 billion.

Adjusted EPS: US$1.66 per share, beating analyst expectations of around US$1.46.

Revenue grew 23.8% to US$12.18 billion, above consensus estimates.

Commercial engines segment revenue rose 26.8% to US$8.88 billion; deliveries increased 33%, including a record 40% rise in LEAP engine shipments.

Free cash flow rose 29.8% to US$2.36 billion

I’m holding off a little longer before making any decisions. November will be an interesting month. We’ve got the upcoming trading update from Rolls and the Airshow toward the end of the month. The main dampener could be the Budget announcement around the 26th and depending on what Rachel Thief's introduces, there may be some short term market impact\pullback.

Like many others, I’m not particularly concerned about the known factors on the horizon — it’s the unpredictable variables that occasionally keep me up at night (though only occasionally :)).

At the moment, around 84% of my portfolio remains in Rolls, but I also hold roughly 20 other stocks across various sectors that are performing well.

As always have an exit strategy and try to stick to it (this will be the most difficult part, especially if it rockets past your goal)

Cheers - have a good week all.

Muppets the lot of them. £300 saving by 2030...great but pretty sure my bills will be going up by more than that in the next 4 odd years...so a total moot point. Ed still reminds me of the 'Karate Kid'...just need someone to 'sweep his leg' as he is definitely pulling ours!

Nothing has changed since the price hit nearly £12 a week or so again...well actually the SP has obviously dropped but zoom out to the year view and there is nothing abnormal about the SP and the direction its travelling.

There will be an update on the 13th Nov which I suspect will be solid and the runway to that date I suspect will encourage a steady lift (not vertical) in SP. Most defense stocks are down which is a fact. Rolls Royce is no single victim in terms of why the SP has dropped its just sentiment, geo-politics, profit taking etc.

I would be more worried if the fundamentals or technicals pointed to something untoward which simply could not be explained. Sit on your hands and sit back. I do have other stocks which include a lot of the ones mentioned here and some U.S ones also but my portfolio is still weighted heavily to RR.

I do have an exit strategy, but I am also concerned what Rachel Thieves is thinking and I have a funny feeling CGT will be hit again in terms of increase which could have an adverse effect on markets in general and anyone who is trading outside of an ISA.

… enjoy the ride.

Have a good week all.

Paulo Silva buys 41,780 shares at an average of GBP11.62 each on Wednesday for a total of GBP485,379.

Must be confident about something ;-)

Have a good weekend..

Https://theprint.in/diplomacy/as-starmer-begins-india-trip-wednesday-uk-remains-hopeful-of-fighter-engine-deal/2758938/?amp

Alternative is to set a sell order on your stock at a level where everything is paid off debt wise (if you have enough shares to do this) and add maybe 30% on top (faff money) and let it all ride. You can still drip feed your investment out in terms of cash/diversify as and when you want..but you have a worry free line in the sand that will trigger on any black swan type moment.

Takes a lot of pressure off

If you do sell and have no interest in the share going forward, I would prob not jump on to these forums too much looking for validation etc..its like going to the airport when you don't have a plane to catch!..:)

Cheers

£11.90 finish...very nice.

@ Trello

I thought about your question quite a bit recently. ‘AI’ Vs the Dot.com bubble. There are some marked differences in my opinion and some similarities.

Dot.com was mainly based on startups that were burning cash with no revenue. In part we have that today, but the key difference is you have the FANGS of the world who can bankroll a lot of these companies without impacting their bottom line. In addition, the scale at which the Dot.com's were starting up was huge and quite frankly the infrastructure was not there...I was still using a US Robotics Modem in 2000!!. Effectively the car was there with no road to drive it forward in terms of datacentres, cloud, ultra-fast broadband, the glue effectively that holds tech together was pretty much non-existent or in its infancy.

'AI’ has already proven itself in many types of applications whether it be medical research, military applications or in the office workspace.

I look at 'AI' like the old nuclear race in part. Governments poured billions into it and it’s not that dissimilar to what is happening now with ‘AI’ There will be bubbles that burst but a lot smaller in nature but the long-term players will make a lot of money out of this and become dominant .

‘AI’ like the internet is not going anywhere. The tech works and the applications are huge.

Cheers

I think sometimes it’s harder to sell than buy. I do sit here like some of us have discussed today and wonder what I should do. RR is not helping matters with its SP month on month increases 😊. I have always maintained ‘sit on your hands and do nothing’ and that mantra has done me good so far.

I would sell if the fundamentals had changed, i.e. there was no future pipeline of services or engineering that I simply did not understand or cannot see happening (based on current R&D and contract wins there is plenty) or simply wanted to take a few profits as I think there is a good 20% correction due on the downside. The biggest reason I would sell is due to personal circumstances, life goals/ retirement etc. or making use of my annual CGT allowance if my shares sit in a GIA account (would drip feed it out but with some of the gains mentioned here that would take a good 50 / 60 years or more!

The few things I have tried to train myself on is forget the short-term noise , don’t make emotional decisions due to impatience or panic during a mini correction or FOMO.

Lastly just have an exit strategy and stick to it. If £15 , £20 is your exit..then exit or set a trailing stop-loss of when you sell, if possible, as closely to your exit price as possible. Stick the lot in dividend stock and sit back..and relax a little.

Many of us have made a few quid but protecting the pot will be the most difficult part without a strategy…you will have to sell at some point to realize the benefit unless your hoping for RR to become a heavy income stock return wise.

Have a good week all.

Cheers

Hope that Happy fella is still good.

Have a good weekend all.

Was watching the Wizard of Oz the other day, that old classic with my little nephew (my excuse anyway!!). That story is very much like investing in this day and age. You need the brain to learn, the heart to stay calm, and the courage to hold when everyone else is running from flying monkeys!

Compounding is the real ruby slippers, the magic is there, you just have to keep walking the yellow brick road (investment journey/goal)

Market “wizards” are often just men behind the curtain — don’t be dazzled by smoke and mirrors.

Chasing meme stocks is like running into the tornado… sure, it’s exciting, but you might not like where you land. The key in all of this is DYOR..I have taken a few tips from here and done quite well and hopefully will continue to do so..but learn why you are doing what your doing and if you don't know why your investing and following blindly, don't do it!

Short or Long, we are all trying to make a few...I try to be objective about things...but..this week if I had no position in RR, I would prob not take one either way. There is a lot of fundamentals in play this week..Trump visit, FED cut and no doubt some curve balls. Some baked in..some not...just be careful is all.

Regarding FCF of 3.5% Vs 100bil Cap for RR...my view..and it is my personal view only is when you have companies worth trillions (NVDA) worth 40 times RR with a FCF of 1.5%..not to mention PE ratios hitting high double digits a lot of the valuations are not necessarily based on traditional valuation methodologies. For RR there is quite a few future pinch points which will no doubt have investors getting on board now...hence the upward movements in SP

As always, sit on your hands if you have conviction in a share (staying put with RR personally) and have a great week...

@PEAKDREAD --> will go with £13.14 for YE predictions

Cheers