Bcn statement13 Dec 2018 07:10
Bacanora Lithium plc (AIM: BCN), the London traded lithium company, is holding its Annual General Meeting ('AGM') later today. At the meeting, Mark Hohnen, Chairman of Bacanora, will make the following statement:
"2018 has been a transformational year for our Company, with a number of milestone achievements being met, including the completion of the Feasibility Study ('FS') for our Sonora lithium project in Mexico ('Sonora'); finalisation of the debt financing for Sonora; significant equity investment commitments from SGRF, the sovereign wealth fund of the Sultanate of Oman, and Hanwa, our offtake partner; the appointment of Citigroup as our financial advisor and broker; and ongoing progress with the FS for the Zinnwald Project in Germany ('Zinnwald').
"As well as running through the economics of a 35,000 tpa lithium carbonate ('Li2CO3') operation at Sonora - US$1.25 billion pre-tax Net Present Value ("NPV"), 26.1% Internal rate of return ("IRR"), and Life of Mine ("LOM") costs of ~US$4,000 per tonne of Li2CO3 - our final results on 15 October 2018 referred to forecasts that demand for lithium could rise to more than 450,000 tpa by 2025 from today's 250,000 level. Less than two months later, those forecasts are now on the conservative side. Thanks to growing industries, such as electric vehicles and energy storage, both key consumers of the critical technology metal, forecasts are now more than twice that number. Currently, for instance, UBS is forecasting demand will hit 900,000 tpa by end of 2025, whilst Seeking Alpha believe demand could be more like 1.3mtpa by 2025*. It is numbers like these, particularly when one considers approximately 250,000t of lithium are expected to be produced in 2018***, that lie behind our firm belief that Bacanora is in the right commodity at the right time.
"Leading Chilean producer Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile ('SQM') reported average LCE contract prices in Q2 2018 were higher than Q1's US$16,400/MT**. If substantial new sources of supply fail to come on stream, further strengthening in LCE contract prices can be expected. This is particularly important as demonstrated by Albemarle Corp's recent postponement, due to regulatory scrutiny, of its expansion plans in Chile, bringing new supplies of lithium to the market is not without its obstacles.
"There has been a recent flurry of corporate activity in the industry. China's Tianqi Lithium Corp has acquired a 23.77% interest in SQM for US$4.066 billion. Albemarle Corp is paying US$1.15 billion in cash for a 50% stake in the Wodgina lithium development project in Western Australia's Pilbara region. Chinese lithium producer Ganfeng successfully listed in Hong Kong raising over US$420million in the process after securing industry heavyweights as cornerstone investors.
"We continue to be in discussions with a number of industry and finance parties with regards to completing Sonora's finance package at the asset l