How not to make friends......25 Mar 2019 15:26
I suppose in some ways I am a little disappointed that RRE have approached this possible offer in such an unusual and some may say, haphazard manner as their management are clearly doing a lot right and are very ambitious too which is all positive stuff. So, perhaps they are more than a little miffed by the fact that they were unceremoniously rebuffed a few weeks ago and instead of keeping their powder dry and having another go with a proper offer they decided they knew better and would approach the Administrator. Perhaps they did not anticipate the reaction they received from S&W but instead, again, of keeping their powder dry and putting forward a proper offer they decide to ‘go public’, one assumes to ensure that creditors of LOG are aware of their approach. Now, the problem with these ‘ gorilla ‘ tactics is that if they fail to convince those making the decisions you can fall out with the influencers pretty quickly. So, either the management team of RRE are used to getting their own way and have responded accordingly, or are badly advised or this was another punt, just like the ‘possible offer’ at 20p per share. All IMO of course but surely it is not a good strategy to make friends which helps with M&A. Hostile takeovers are rare because they are difficulty execute, costly and time consuming so I don’t expect RRE to come back with a formal offer as it would have to be pitched at a much higher price to be taken seriously and constant rejection is not good for ones health/ego. What this would do to our share price In the short term I have no idea of course but my guess, it is only that, is that S&W are on the inside of the farm-in discussions and feel confident that it will improve IOG’s balance sheet such that they do not have to worry too much about waving aside RRE. So, short term movements may well happen but worth waiting on what is being negotiated I think.