Member Info for badflaw

I'm tempted to add to the short in Card Factory. Might be ok if it was an online business but no-one really shops much for cards anymore and the youth of today have given up on Xmas cards.

I sat opposite a store yesterday at peak time while waiting for the mrs to get her nails done.

Not a single sale with two staff on their phones with nothing to do.

It has a horrendous debt and if you add the lease liabilities a crazily
high one compared to profits.

The head cheese is leaving, doesn't look like a happy leaving either and you wonder if something isn't right there.

The big question is: will he get a leaving card .. sent via Moonpig?

over the last few months I , and others have been accused of various things, including our holdings. so ive been logging trades the last few months, the accusers have full view of my positions and can verify if I was profitable or not, rather than make up silly accusations.

what do you mean ? how do you know I have no concern for the employees? do you honestly believe that putting on a spreadbet as a private investor will have an affect on the companies finances?
do shareholders care about the wellfare of their employees or would they sacrifice their employees for the business to survive?

follow my post history and you'll see my declared short positions .
current open : positions 539, 465 , 465.2 and 438

recently closed : open 493 closed 374 81 points profit
open 397 close 418 21 points loss

open 888 close 649 239 points profit

btw I strongly believe the company is still significanatly overvalued .
and that the share price is artificially high due to the ongoing rights issue and the price will reflect the huge dilution, high debt and low profits in due course .
I do not understand the internal mechanisms enough to understand why the prices spikes so much with equity deals. (can someone enlighten me ) but I do understand prices spike by over excited investors and dip Futher the. they should on bad news.

why are you trying to censor holders with an opposing view ? this forum is for the benefit of everybody. if you do not want to read views others to your own or data that you do not like or understand then perhaps filter the user or or do not use forums.
if you do filter a user there is no requirement to inform the rest of the forum of your censorship preferences

I used to take opposing views personally on bulletin boards . defending a company like a football fan supporting "their club "
i also lost money.
I just want profit and as a seasoned investor I understand that I need other views to oppose and challenge opinions and reduce the ever so present confirmation bias that is natural

really? Ive used his techniques for over ten years and it's completely changed my results .
the seminars are game changers and I often recoup the money the same week.

time will tell on card factory . for me it was a very clear short case, but we all get it wrong sometimes and that's what my stop losses are for
my shorts I opened at 61 and 63. have already made me considerable profits ( my stoploss closed the positions at 52)
waiting to open my next short , if it works out. we shall see.

I did short Uber .. but do not follow the is markets as heavily , best wishes to everyone who does well put of them. I just need more hours in the day

read the naked traders book. coats a tenner. if it makes you £500 more than you would of go on one of his seminars. that's what I did.
I've been three times now as got so much value from it .
in these times stay away from (or short (companies with high net debt to profits .. eg card factory : I've shorted it on a speadbet

this forum is to discuss companies. the good and the bad. ignoring the bad because your invested is extremely dangerous .
look at the pre tax profits. look at the liabilities.
look at the alijt due within 12 months.

how does thw math add up to you ? how can they pay such debt back in a reasonable time frame (even if we use the very very ambitious next profit figures spouted here )

you are completely delusional if you think any comments on this board move the share price of such a large company. thus a "paid deramper" would be completely pointless.
the share price spiked rapidly for no logical reason, if we followedyour theory then the rampers have won. ther are far more people here "ramping" than "deramping" by that I mean saying share price has /will go up because of a reason that has nothing to do with the current business fundamentals

why did the price spike ? nothing has changed .except for dilution of shares .
the issue is the company ndidnt make a profit during a boom period. it spent more than it made. borrowed more , couldn't pay back the interest is spending more than its earning y running out of cash mand now had to raise more cash .
if it wasn't profitable ina boom , with all this money printing . how on earth will it be profitable innpoor economics conditions?
they will have less money coming in just as much ,if not more going out.
theystill have huge debt

hope holders managed to take advantage of the great exit price .
on holiday and missed the600s last night otherwise nwpuldnhave being an amazing shot opportunity.
I did top up short at 560 ish the morning mind

a beach day was worth it :)

why are people getting emotional at cg626?

he has been right and share price has almost 3/4 of its value since he started.
the company have run low on cash and have had to dilute shareholders stake.
a 20pc rise sounds great but let's get real this one of the worst performing shares in the FTSE.
the share price isn't recovering to anywhere near its highs and more dilution will be needed.
it's unlikely the market cap will be high enough to stop aml being demoted put of the FTSE to the aim index .
the fundamentals of the business have not changed, just a sticking plaster has been applied.
if the company cannot profit in an economic boom , how do they expect to do so with the economic headwinds starting to blow.

ps. as I well publicise I am shorting this . my open and close positions are in my posting history.

I remember them. I bought some. then dilution, bought some more . then more and more lol
back when I didn't know what I was doing .
tback then I listened to the story of the company rather than analysing the numbers.

it's great that Astons short term future is now secure but at huge cost to share holders.

I've increased my shorts again at @467

great find ! that explains price drop

rights issue explained https://www.investopedia.com/investing/understanding-rights-issues/

and me lol. I have been from 1250 I'm Jan .but got stopped out once or twice and had various position sizes..it was a really clear short case.
at this price I couldn't help you to regain profits as it's not as clear cut.
personally for value at moment is 300/400 but hard to be exact. I've got a core short running but intend to keep trading it on upward spikes without positive news flow.
best wishes . cars factory ,just eat and the FTSE looks like poatwntial good shorts over medium term . I missed ao.com issues so didn't mage to short those. I need to research them more to see if still worth it.
hopefully build a nice war chest when markets are looking better value for some good long term holds.
best of luck :)

I've reduced my positions taken some profits on my shorts again.
will open more if we get well into 400s again

im shorting this. I've no idea why aanyone wouldn't have been short. I've lots of long positions. in 15 yrs of markets this was the clearest case for shorting I've ever seen . the mcap was madness based on net debt alone let alone all the other factors. people holding onto this at the crazy prices it has recently been either do not understand the very Basic numbers needs when share picking or have a gamblingbatreak /emotional attachment to aml.
please explain your comments with regards to shorters ? it seems like shorters scapegoats for your poor choices. lots of people see shareholders and investors as you do shorters.
do you have any idea how the markets work at all?

fair enough.
I do drive a RR, but it's a range rover. just realised you probably meant rolls Royce ??.
as much as I love BMW's I haven't owned the British one yet. however they start at 9k . a phantom is £60k now which is a lot fo car for the money. and gets the same mog as my s/c RR ??