RE: A lot to like ...30 Jan 2026 09:11
After an initial read results to me seemed strong so ran it through AI to try and understand why there might be a drop. Had the following not sure what people's take on this is?
Rising Debt Costs: Excluding one-off currency gains, underlying finance costs jumped from $448m to $605m due to higher interest on local debt and expensive tower contract renewals.
Margin Pressure in Mobile Money: The EBITDA margin for the highly-valued Mobile Money division fell by nearly 2%, which may dampen sentiment ahead of its planned 2026 IPO.
High Capital Intensity: Capex surged 32.2% to $603m, causing Operating Free Cash Flow in the East Africa region to actually shrink by 8.1% this quarter.
Tax and Currency Sensitivity: A high effective tax rate of nearly 40% continues to eat into profits, and the business remains hyper-sensitive to the Nigerian Naira, where a mere 1% move can impact earnings by up to $15m.