RE: Hold26 Mar 2025 10:12
Get the refinancing done and get a new CEO in who can do deals, then get Kenya moving again. I think the Kenyan government haven't wanted the project to go ahead as there has been too much green money thrown at them and they didn't want to risk that by giving the go ahead to a big dirty O&G project. I think this is why the investors pulled out. Now the global landscape is different since Trump has come in and the government has a desire to get it done, as they feel they can do it without being seen to be a pariah and losing investment. Plus they've probably lost billions in handouts from recent cuts to foreign aid and need to make up the shortfall from somewhere. Also feels like Tullow haven't been reading the room, as when the deadline gets continually extended each time by 6 months and they don't approve the transfer of the AOI and TE 50% to Tullow it tells you something. It tells you they want a piece of the pie, so just give them something and get it moving. I think if the FDP is not approved by the end of June and is extended by another 6 months, even I will admit defeat and that the chances are Kenya will never happen. Going to be an interesting year I think.