Member Info for andyalan10

Last time you posted here the shares rose 30% in the next two weeks. And some of us top sliced. Thank you for today's contribution. Confirms my suspicion that these are a very good buy at 1090 with gas at $3.32

Hi SomersetHippy. Everything you say is true. It also hasn't changed in the last month or more. That makes me nervous. The share price is up 70% MoM, on no significant news. I have a very small holding. If it was larger I'd sell down 10-20% without hesitation. As it is it's really only worth selling c50% or holding it all. And I'm not sure what I am going to do.

MarketWatch are reporting after hours price of $15 (1127p at £1 - $1.331

Lots of people here saying the board is a joke, it's hopeless, I'm way underwater. Have any of you actually sold? I've bough twice during the last year, and missed the chance to sell some at a profit. I'm not selling, but I am not topping up without a 20% rise from here. Missing out on 1.4p per share really won't make a big difference if this does come good.

When I see a post in block capitals I immediately suspect the person writing is an idiot. When I look at their posting history on this all the way back to November and 26p, my suspicions are confirmed.

Because I'm a spreadsheet junkie I thought I'd do some number crunching:-

People predicting 2025 close:- 62

Mean prediction:- 97.3p

Median prediction:- 78.75p

Modal prediction:- 70-79p

Not a bad example of the wisdom of crowds when the price was 25p at 31/12/24, and 33p at 15/1/25.

Kudos to JEBR for organising.

First I have to say it's nice to see a share where there is no suspicious share price movement before a major announcement. Yesterday was the lowest close since May.

The dilemma for me is that I topped up here in September, and I'm overweight oil, and I think the markets are frothy. A bounce like this normally makes me think about trimming my holding.. But the bounce is not on any of the expected news - tax rebate receipt and updated financial numbers being the main catalysts I was expecting. The bounce is also from a very low level. So on balance I am a holder right now at 177p bid, not a trimmer.

Asp1 - I've clicked the "Recommend" button, but I also wanted to say an explicit thank you for your thoughtful and well written response.

I have also sold just under 20% of my holding this morning :-) I do however still have more DEC shares than a month ago. It was a matter of an individual share, and sector getting more overweight that I wanted to be.

August 21st with DEC share price at 1133p the previous day, Citibank raised their target price by 19% to $19.

October 20th with DEC share price at 930p the previous trading day, Citibank lowered their target price by 16% back to $16.

November 13th with the price at 1111p they have increased their target price by 6% to $17.

I am so tempted to take that as a signal to reduce my holding, given their recent record....

GuruFocus reports that DEC is making a Secondary Public Offering:-

https://www.gurufocus.com/news/3110073/diversified-energy-dec-launches-secondary-public-offering?utm_source=marketwatch&utm_medium=syndication&utm_campaign=headlines&r=4bf001661e6fdd88d0cd7a5659ff9748&mod=mw_quote_news

5.71m shares to be sold by existing holders US price down 8.5% after hours...

Hi VistaMan

All the sources I have checked (e.g. gov.uk, PWC) say withholding tax is 15%. Thank you for bringing VAR's yield to my attention. Might well add some to my existing KIST holdings.

Excellent news this morning, and I can't help comparing and contrasting my holdings in Rockhopper and Kistos. The former - tens of messages on LSE every day, loads of hype, up 100% YTD. Kistos, message board almost silent, up 90% YTD. Just goes to show almost everything people say on here is completely irrelevant :-)

Story published this evening. Don't know what the longer term effect will be, but I can't see it helping sentiment tomorrow...

amazon-to-resume-direct-sales-of-nike-products--the-information-93CH-4098767 on Investing,com

So, we've done the daily average volume at 10:00am, the shares are up 7% to a 10 month high, and there's not any news that I can see.

Apologies to anyone else who came here hoping for an explanation, like I did.

I thought the requirement was to notify changes in ownership at each whole percentage point threshold? So why this RNS? I want to be optimistic (I took part in the latest raise) but not sure how this RNS helps.

The recent fall, which seems to be mainly on UK retail sales which only form a relatively small part of ABF's business, made me put these on my watchlist. Then I come here and find tumbleweed as far as the eye can see. That makes me even more keen on them.

Christofer - I am making some assumptions from your posting history. Firstly that you have an extremely concentrated portfolio (you have hardly posted on any other share) . Secondly you swing massively from huge optimism to massive despair. I fear the combination of those two things is only going to make you unhappy. I can't tell you what you should do but I would consider the following:-

1. Diversify. You are carrying a heavy loss on your most recent PSN trade, but you could sell some of your holding. With 20,000 shares trading costs would be minimal to sell 10,20,30% to buy something else. You might say that would crystallise your loss but if you buy a share that has fallen a similar amount you are no worse off than you would have been if you traded a month ago, or earlier. For example from my portfolio (which does include some PSN) I see that the shares of NG and RIO have moved in a very similar fashion to PSN.

2. Consider fine tuning the size of your holding. At 1700p your were saying your target was 1720. How much happier would you have been if you had sold a proportion of your holding then. Similarly at 1200p I am seriously considering increasing my holding here, precisely because I have trimmed it in the past.

Both of these things may reduce your returns compared to your current approach if you turn out to be 100% right. But none of us are, so a more diversified and nuanced approach may make you much happier overall.

Well here is my take:-

Akatara "has achieved sustained" daily output sounds much less reassuring than ""is achieving" or "has achieved for the last n days/weeks whatever".

Also the President and CEO does not depart immediately with no mention of a handover period if this is retirement, or a minor disagreement over strategy...

Quite pleased with the muted share price reaction, and not surprised given the caveats above. I'd like to buy more, but would have to sell something else, gives me more time to consider my actions.

CJ1986 - you know that electoral reform was proposed in the early 2010s? And was opposed by whatever Nigel Farage's bandwagon of the time was, and the Conservatives? The results of the 2024 General Election were:- Right wing parties (Conservative and Reform 11 million, more progressive parties (Labour, Lib Dem, Green, Welsh and Scottish Nationalists) 16 million. I believe the majority of voters have voted against the elected government in every election since the Second World War, except for the Tory/Lib Dem coalition of 2010. Do you have any facts to contradict those points?

Did any of you wear a poppy last month? And if so how do you reconcile that with supporting the Farage/Musk/Trump/Putin collective, instead of a democratically elected UK government?

Or to quote the Brexit supporters who offered not a single policy or solution - you lost, get over it.