RE: 1 month to go3 Apr 2026 19:22
HZ
"Is the basis of your expected time for first production , particularly so for SK from CB’s past performances "
YES !!
I now always ask myself two questions with any of CB's projects.
1. Is it likely to happen?
2. If so, when is it realistically likely to happen?
For SK I see no reason why the mine will not go into production. There is too much info to assume it will now fail so the next question is when is it realistically likely to happen. All previous timescales have failed to occur when CB said they would and its therefore sensible to add on 6 months (at least) to any of CB's time scale, so hence my Q4 prediction. That may not be very scientific but I think 6 months + is much more likely to be more accurate then going with the official timescale. I've said many times before that my supposed pessimistic timescales have often, later on, proved to be very optimistic so may be SK will be in production later then Q4 2027. No doubt CB can fined many excuses to explain why there has been delays ie War, interest rates, rain, two many spotted red breasted eagles nesting in the area etc
I'm still not 100% convinced about point 1 re antinomy mine. Maybe 75% convinced it will happen. The timescale is more unpredictable with a wide window imho of q1 to q4 2027 so I'll go in the middle of q2 2027.
If both mines are in production this year, as per current timescales then you are more than welcome to remind me of my ridiculous pessimistic view as I suspect my current 14.1M holding (soon to be 15M after new ISA allowance ) will be worth a lot more by end of the year than it is now !
And if this does hit 3p, 5p, 7p, I wont be forgiving CB for his utter BS and misguided forward guidance over the many years. His BS (10p and they can stick it) stopped me selling and making a substantial amount of money when this was 6P+. I was a fool to trust him then so I will not be making the same mistake again.