RE: Blackrock funding imminent!5 Oct 2023 16:40
I'm not sure that was the intent after mining licence issued, however BKT was always going to be before ACP due to their advanced project over ACP. EV narrative struggled after Covid and everything slowed down in the sector....by the time that improved BKT/Tanz had new ideas on country development, plus BKT needed to up its ESG credentials, hence the hydro power line and rail sidings. There is ONE main road out to the major highway that all Mahenge miners will use, the first to develop gets the job of building it up/paving it and BKT would have had to build that anyway. ACP original DFS assumed ACP would have to build certain roads that now transpores BKT will have to build/improve anyway. So it then makes sense to fall in behind such a major project (do not forget many miners starting out now, are piggy backing onto majors who came in and developed electric and rail links to backwater regions, see VALE in Brazil for example)....a project that was due to have credit term sheets nearly a YEAR ago, even an advanced project with Tier 1 backing has had to wait this long. It was not helped by the extra build out and the almost changed plans to build 2 stages at once.
You might not like the wait but the EV and graphite narrative took a dip after licence and since then the situation has improved on many fronts, plus the demand profile is way better, leading to more favourable deals than you would have got 2 years ago. You now have saved some capex on certain road infrastructure, hydro power (cheaper opex and ESG credentials improve for western and teir 1 buyers) from stage 1 and rail transport taking 360km road out of equation (cheaper opex and ESG credentials improve for western and teir 1 buyers). Better choice of offtakers that will provide better deals.
You are not waiting for BKT to build the infrastructure just that they have the money to do it, our build was what 12 months? so whilst BKT start their build ACP can crack on with catching up and start build to end any time 'just after' BKT is starting production and all infrastructure is complete. No point being ready before they are.
Any call for just charge ahead negate all the advantages listed and secondly I think everyone else has been queued by the Gov, with them not finalising Gov deals for others, BKT is a flagship Teir 1 infrastructure developing project they are 100% behind and focused on. There is no point them wasting time bringing 5 other projects along when none of them can get the kind of life changing infrastructure BKT is going bring for the region's population and to further enhance the other companies that will operate there too.
Going first is the hardest, second onwards the world sees a region that has Tier 1 material, Tier 1 offtakers and international finance banking approving build after significant due diligence.....anyone else coming to party will be soothed by that very fact. The region is derisked to an extent and carrys high ESG credentials now too opening up new bu