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Oil companies temper Iraq's dreams of production expansion

Wed, 14th Mar 2018 11:38

By Ahmad Ghaddar and Dmitry Zhdannikov LONDON, March 14 (Reuters) - Iraq, OPEC's second-largestproducer of crude, is hitting a roadblock in the next phase ofexpanding its oil production capacity as the appetite ofinternational energy firms for investing in the country'slow-return environment slackens. Having slashed production targets in 2013 and 2014, mostinternational oil firms in Iraq are revising their oilfields'plateau production levels even lower, and the discussionsinvolved are moving slowly, Iraqi and company sources say. Growth has been the hallmark of Iraq's oil production in thepast decade with a rise of over 2.5 million barrels per day to apeak of 4.71 million bpd in late 2016, Reuters assessments show.<PRODN-IQ> Iraq owes much of that growth to the likes of BP,Exxon Mobil, Lukoil, Eni, Total andRoyal Dutch Shell, which oversaw the redevelopment ofits oilfields after the U.S.-led invasion in 2003. But those companies have long complained that the technicalservice contracts Baghdad offers are too stringent and givelittle return on investment. Most companies in the past five years negotiated theirproduction plateaus lower, forcing Iraq to reduce its capacityexpansion plan from 12 million bpd to 9 million bpd by 2018. Now this new target is far from attainable, and Iraq aims toraise capacity to 7 million bpd by 2022. All companies except Petronas and Total are suggesting theirplateaus be lowered, Abdul Mahdi al-Ameedi, head of the Iraqioil ministry's licensing and contracts office, told Reuters. On the sidelines of a conference in Berlin last month,al-Ameedi told reporters: "In principle we accept that we reducethe plateau level for certain fields to lower production rates,but this is all under discussion." Total, with partner PetroChina, has committed to phase threeof the expansion of the 4.1-billion-barrels Halfaya oilfield,which will double production there to 400,000 bpd in 2019. Petronas is on track to attain production of 230,000 bpd atits Garraf oilfield. "What you're seeing now is a second wave of renegotiationsin light of the oil price and the fact that budgets are downconsiderably compared to five years ago," Ian Thom, principalanalyst at consultancy Wood Mackenzie, said. "There are alternatives in tight oil and deepwater from manyof the Iraq players that are more favourable," Thom said. Only Lukoil has so far reached a preliminary agreement withthe oil ministry on a lower plateau target, bringing the goalfor its West Qurna 2 oilfield down to 800,000 bpd from 1.2million bpd, al-Ameedi said. But the two sides have not yet finalised talks asdiscussions continue on when Lukoil can hit the new target, hesaid. "We are in discussions but nothing has been approved yet,"al-Ameedi said. Iraq wants the plateau to be hit earlier than Lukoil does,al-Ameedi said, but he declined to specify which timeframes werebeing discussed. Lukoil declined to comment. Delays in such negotiations are a headache for any oilcompany that needs to plan its annual budget based on how manyoilfields it wants to drill and what new facilities it needs tobring extra production on stream. The impact of negotiation delays is being feltdisproportionately, with companies that have production levelsfarthest from the previously agreed plateau feeling the mostheat, a source at one of those firms told Reuters. LIMITED GROWTH ON ITS WAY Iraq's oil capacity is near 5 million bpd and it can easilyincrease that by a further 10 percent in the next year or two,even without a new agreement on plateaus, analysts and industrysources say. "If you bring the few fields where there is activity underway ... and if the Kirkuk and Bai Hassan fields return ... youcould see production capacity from existing investments gettingclose to 5.5 million bpd in the next year or two," Thom said. But beyond those investments at oilfields such as Rumaila,West Qurna 1, Halfaya and Zubair, "you would certainly expect aflat-lining of Iraq's oil production with the element of naturaldecline kicking in", Thom said. Oilfield Companies Plateau New plateau (million bpd) Rumaila BP, CNPC 2.1 (from 2.85) Majnoon Shell*, Never Petronas agreed new plateau (from 1.8) West Qurna 1 ExxonMobil, 1.6 (from PetroChina, 2.825) Pertamina Itochu** West Qurna 2 Lukoil 1.2 (from 0.8*** 1.8) Zubair Eni, KOGAS 0.85 (from 1.2) Halfaya CNPC, 0.4 (from 0.4 Total, 0.535) Petronas Maysan Oil CNOOC, TPAO 0.45 Garraf Petronas, 0.23 0.23 Japex * Shell exiting project and will hand its share https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iraq-oil-shell/shell-to-hand-over-iraqs-majnoon-oilfield-by-end-june-2018-iraqi-oil-officials-idUSKBN1D817D to Basra Oil Co by end of June** Shell selling 20 percent stake https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iraq-energy-shell/shell-agrees-to-sell-its-stake-in-iraqs-west-qurna-1-oilfield-to-japans-itochu-idUSKBN1F41TO to Itochu*** Deal on plateau reduction not finalised yet (Additional reporting by Olesya Astakhova in Moscow; Editing byDale Hudson)
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Trans Mountain oil shippers raise concerns about risk of delay to full service

April 23 (Reuters) - Some shippers on Canada's Trans Mountain expansion project are raising concerns that the long-delayed oil pipeline will not be fully in service by its projected start date of May 1, according to a letter to the Canada Energy Regulator on Tuesday.

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Pressure on gas and LNG prices to help switch from coal, says J.P. Morgan

LONDON, April 24 (Reuters) - Global natural gas prices will come under pressure through the end of the decade as supply and shipping infrastructure grow rapidly, particularly in Qatar and the U.S., J.P. Morgan said in a report.

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24 Apr 2024 09:58

Aker BP Q1 beats forecast as costs fall, Tyrving to start sooner

OSLO, April 24 (Reuters) - Norwegian independent oil company Aker BP on Wednesday posted higher-than-expected net profit for the first quarter as costs fell, and said its Tyrving field development could start production sooner than previously planned.

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24 Apr 2024 05:38

Aker BP Q1 beats forecast on record output, lower cost

OSLO, April 24 (Reuters) - Norwegian independent oil company Aker BP on Wednesday posted a higher-than-expected net profit for the first quarter as production hit a record while costs fell.

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18 Apr 2024 14:45

BP's gas and renewables boss steps down, as CEO shrinks leadership

LONDON, April 18 (Reuters) - BP said on Thursday its head of natural gas and low carbon energy Anja-Isabel Dotzenrath will step down after just over two years, while CEO Murray Auchincloss announced plans to simplify its management structure.

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18 Apr 2024 14:12

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

Friday 19 April 
Murray International Trust PLCAGM
Quantum Exponential Group PLCGM re delisting or potential investment in company
Monday 22 April 
Renalytix PLCGM
Travis Perkins PLCAGM
Tuesday 23 April 
AIQ LtdAGM
NatWest Group PLCAGM
Taylor Wimpey PLCAGM
Wednesday 24 April 
abrdn PLCAGM
abrdn Equity Income Trust PLCAGM
AssetCo PLCAGM
Breedon Group PLCAGM
British American Tobacco PLCAGM
Bunzl PLCAGM
Coro Energy PLCAGM
Croda International PLCAGM
Entain PLCAGM
Greencoat UK Wind PLCAGM
Primary Health Properties PLCAGM
Serco Group PLCAGM
Synectics PLCAGM
Thursday 25 April 
AFC Energy PLCAGM
Admiral Group PLCAGM
Beazley PLCAGM
BP PLCAGM
CLS Holdings PLCAGM
CRH PLCAGM
Dalata Hotel Group PLCAGM
Develop North PLCAGM
Drax Group PLCAGM
Everest Global PLCAGM
Greencoat Renewables PLCAGM
Hammerson PLCAGM
Helios Towers PLCAGM
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLCAGM
International Biotechnology Trust PLCAGM
London Stock Exchange Group PLCAGM
Manx Financial Group PLCAGM
Mattioli Woods PLCGM re Pollen Street Capital Ltd takeover
Persimmon PLCAGM
Premier Miton Global Renewables Trust PLCAGM
Relx PLCAGM
Schroders PLCAGM
Smithson Investment Trust PLCAGM
Tissue Regenix Group PLCAGM
Weir Group PLCAGM
  
Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com
  
A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: FTSE 100 up despite hawkish Fed rates outlook

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London were higher on Thursday afternoon, despite the prospect of higher for longer US interest rates hanging over stocks.

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18 Apr 2024 09:04

IN BRIEF: BP trims executive team in operational restructuring

BP PLC - London-based oil and gas major - Announces organisational restructuring. Intends to keep its three businesses - production & operations, gas & low carbon energy and customers & products - enabled by trading & shipping. Plans to integrate the current regions, corporates & solutions organisation into the businesses and functions. BP will now be supported by five functions: finance; technology; strategy, sustainability & ventures; people & culture; and legal. BP explains these changes will "reduce duplication and reporting line complexity".

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18 Apr 2024 08:11

BP cuts size of executive team, shakes up structure

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17 Apr 2024 18:58

Shell urges investors to reject shareholder group's climate demands

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Sustainable Finance Newsletter - Republican AGs look to limit climate groups

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Shell urges investors to reject shareholder group's climate demands

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Carbon Done Right advances Sierra Leone rewilding project

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LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Investors show nerves after Iran launches drones

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London close: Stocks slip on renewed geopolitical tensions

(Sharecast News) - London's equity markets markets experienced a downturn on Monday, with losses particularly notable in the mining and oil sectors, as investors remained cautious amid to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

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