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Alliance Trust NAV up; warns of 'small recession' post-Brexit

Fri, 22nd Jul 2016 08:59

(ShareCast News) - Alliance Trust said first half net asset value rose to 591.4p compared with 545.9p a year earlier although the uncertainty after the UK's decision to leave the EU caused it to underperform against its benchmark.It also warned that the UK appeared to be headed for a "mild recession as investment and consumption freeze up in the midst of so much uncertainty" after the Brexit vote."With global economic growth already fragile, political uncertainty is sure to be a headwind for equity markets. In this uncertain environment we believe a defensive portfolio that is invested in companies that are growing through structural change - rather than those that are dependent on cyclical tailwinds - will be key to investment performance."Pre-tax profits jumped to £213m from £36.6m.Alliance said the quoted equity part of the its portfolio returned 9.5% for the period against the MSCI ACWI benchmark's 12.0% return in the period after the EU referendum result, effectively reversing the outperformance in the five months to May."The first half of 2016 has been marked by significant volatility in markets, particularly around the time of the EU Referendum," Alliance said."The NAV was also impacted by a number of other items such as the value of debt and a pension scheme buy in transaction. The combination of these items generated the trust's NAV Total Return of 6.6%, with a Total Shareholder Return (TSR) at 2.6%."Alliance said weak investment and consumption for the short, and possibly, medium-term were key risks for the UK economy, which will place further pressure on the already weakened pound."The economic outlook for the second half of 2016 appears unclear after the EU Referendum vote. The UK economy appears set for at least a mild recession as investment and consumption freeze up in the midst of so much uncertainty.""The question remains as to whether this will spill over into Europe and result in a slowdown across the global economy. The unprecedented nature of the current situation makes forecasting the impact particularly challenging."The company also said there were other global political risks to consider, from the US presidential election in November to elections and referendums in China, Germany, France and Italy over the next 18 months.
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Wednesday newspaper share tips: Alliance Trust, Hill & Smith

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31 May 2016 16:01

Britain's FTSE snaps three-month winning streak as Brexit poll weighs

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31 May 2016 15:55

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Brexit Poll Hits Sterling, Stocks In Late Trade

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31 May 2016 14:41

Britain's FTSE index set to post fourth consecutive month of gains

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31 May 2016 11:21

Britain's FTSE index set to post fourth consecutive month of gains

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31 May 2016 11:00

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Stocks Lower As Eurozone Deflation Continues

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31 May 2016 10:20

TOP NEWS SUMMARY: Alliance Trust Confirms Merger Approach From RIT

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31 May 2016 09:47

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Alliance Trust Rises On RIT Approach

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31 May 2016 07:29

LONDON MARKET OPEN: RIT Interest Sends Alliance Trust Shares Higher

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31 May 2016 07:17

BUZZ-Alliance Trust: RIT Capital makes informal merger proposal

** Investment firm Alliance Trust's shares up 3.3 pct, top FTSE mid-250 gainers, after RIT Capital Partners makes informal merger proposal ** Alliance Trust says RIT has not provided any details of proposal ** RIT confirms talks, says merger possibility at "a very preliminary stage of

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31 May 2016 07:14

LONDON BRIEFING: Alliance Trust Shares Lifted By RIT Capital Approach

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31 May 2016 07:10

Alliance Trust confirms RIT Capital's informal merger approach

(ShareCast News) - Alliance Trust said it has received an unsolicited, informal approach from fellow FTSE 250 investment trust RIT Capital Partners that proposed a merger of the two companies. Alliance stressed that "no detailed terms" were provided by RIT and it will incorporate any formal offer w

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31 May 2016 07:05

Tuesday newspaper round-up: HSBC, Brexit polls, Alliance Trust

(ShareCast News) - HSBC's Stuart Gulliver is the European bank chief executive who investors would most like to be replaced, according to a recent poll of large shareholders. When 74 institutional investors were polled by Autonomous Research and asked to each name three banks in Europe "most in need

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31 May 2016 06:22

TOP NEWS: RIT Confirms "Very Preliminary" Interest In Alliance Trust

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