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CEE MARKETS- Currencies steady after Fed move, stocks mixed

Thu, 19th Sep 2019 09:56

BUCHAREST, Sept 19 (Reuters) - Central European currencies edged higher against the euro in early trade on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates but set a higher bar for further reductions, while stocks across the region were mixed.

Monetary policy loosening by the world's largest central banks has so far eased pressure to act on policymakers in central Europe, where consumption-driven economic growth has mostly held up in the face of a euro zone slowdown and concerns over Britain's exit from the European Union.

Policy in central Europe remains in a wait-and-see mode.

By 0830 GMT, the Czech crown, Hungarian forint and Romanian leu were each 0.1% higher against the euro on the day, while the Polish zloty was flat.

"The U.S. Fed meeting yesterday produced the widely expected result bringing a 25 basis point rate cut and dovish wording," Raiffeisen Bank said in a research note.

"Still, a small relief rally in CEE local bond markets may be possible in the coming days due to relatively cautious positioning of the markets ahead of the Fed meeting."

Bond yields were mixed on Thursday.

Polish industrial output fell by 1.3% in August while analysts had expected it to rise by 1.7%.

"The data is clearly weaker than expected," said Piotr Bielski, Santander Bank Polska head of economic analysis.

"I think that one can suspect that this slowdown in Western Europe, to which we have been resistant for a long time, has a mark on Polish industry. This is a signal that we are not completely immune to the global slowdown."

Warsaw's blue chip index was down 0.6% on the day, while Hungary's fell 0.5%. In Prague and Bucharest, stocks were up 0.4% and 0.1%, respectively.

            CEE       SNAPSHO   AT
            MARKETS   T        1027
                               CET
                      CURRENC
                      IES
                      Latest   Previou  Daily    Change
                               s
                      bid      close    change   in 2019
 Czech      <EURCZK=  25.8750  25.9040   +0.11%   -0.65%

crown >

Hungary <EURHUF= 332.730 332.940 +0.06% -3.50% forint > 0 0

Polish <EURPLN= 4.3431 4.3422 -0.02% -1.23%

zloty > Romanian <EURRON= 4.7395 4.7418 +0.05% -1.80% leu > Croatian <EURHRK= 7.3980 7.3975 -0.01% +0.16%

kuna >

Serbian <EURRSD= 117.500 117.615 +0.10% +0.68%

 dinar      >               0        0
 Note:      calculated from             1800
 daily                                  CET
 change
                      Latest   Previou  Daily    Change
                               s
                               close    change   in 2019
 Prague               1053.46  1050.02   +0.33%   +6.78%
                                    00
 Budapest             40726.1  40930.2   -0.50%   +4.06%
                            3        4
 Warsaw               2190.50  2205.02   -0.66%   -3.78%
 Bucharest            9323.76  9313.44   +0.11%   +26.28
                                                       %
 Ljubljana  <.SBITOP   857.74   859.27   -0.18%   +6.65%
            >
 Zagreb               1896.22  1893.77   +0.13%   +8.43%
 Belgrade   <.BELEX1   760.59   759.43   +0.15%   -0.14%
            5>
 Sofia                 580.60   580.65   -0.01%   -2.33%
                      BONDS
                      Yield    Yield    Spread   Daily
                      (bid)    change   vs Bund  change
                                                 in
 Czech                                           spread
 Republic
2-year <CZ2YT=R 1.2870 -0.0930 +199bp -10bps
            R>                                s
   5-year   <CZ5YT=R   1.1020  -0.0840   +183bp   -10bps
            R>                                s

10-year <CZ10YT= 1.3930 -0.0170 +189bp -4bps RR> s Poland

2-year <PL2YT=R 1.4960 0.0160 +220bp +1bps

            R>                                s

5-year <PL5YT=R 1.8400 0.0190 +257bp +1bps R> s

10-year <PL10YT= 2.1130 0.0430 +261bp +3bps RR> s FORWARD RATE AGREEME NT 3x6 6x9 9x12 3M interba nk Czech Rep 2.16 2.09 1.99 2.14 <PRIBOR= > Hungary 0.27 0.33 0.37 0.21 Poland 1.73 1.73 1.70 1.72

Note: FRA are for ask

quotes prices ********************************************** **************** (Reporting by Luiza Ilie in Bucharest, Jason Hovet in Prague and Anna Koper in Warsaw; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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