Another Year - As predicted a bigger loss!27 Jun 2024 19:53
Appalling results but, more or less in line with my expectation.
So, to increase revenue by 12% YOY, saw the operating costs go up by 71%!
As in previous years, NO economy of scale operating cost savings as the cargo handled increased!
Only port I've ever come across where the costs increase much faster than the revenue generated as the tonnage handled through the port increases. This occurs every year at Karanja!
Coal and cement cargoes attract extremely low handling rates and so are usually shipped through purpose built terminals with automated handling equipment.
As mentioned previously, handling these low value cargoes at a circa '$200m' build cost and still only half built break bulk terminal like Karanja is extremely expensive - NO PORT OPERATOR IN THEIR RIGHT MIND WOULD DO IT!
Even were they to handle 10 million tonnes (7 times more than last year) they would still only generate a pittance in total revenue. Dirty, low handling rate bulk cargoes are rarely shipped through break bulk cargo terminals for a very good reason - it's almost impossible to make any money from them!
The going concern situation is to be expected, as next years operating performance WILL be worse than this year based on the expected small ramp up in bulk cargo volumes, as they have simply replaced one customer who was renting storage and use of the quay (ie MPL received revenue but had no costs), with more low handling rate bulk cargo, that has very high handling costs at a port terminal like Karanja.
Totally uninvestible - the equity has been worthless since they somehow managed to 'spend' $45m one year before they got onto the foreshore to start reclaiming the land on which to build the terminal !
My estimation of the current value of the terminal is around $25m - if you believe the books(and only an idiot would) they have 'spent' close to $200m part building Karanja Port over the last 10 years!
AIMHO/DYOR