RE: New 3-year low on close.Today 18:43
I've been critical of this share since this the deal was signed a year ago - the deal that was supposed to finallise everything, but didn't.
Paradoxically I must say that today's news on Anglo is - for me - the best news there's been since then. I feel marginally more optimistic, despite yet another s/p fall.
There was talk a while back that Glencore were in the frame for a takeover. So might there be a bidding war? And if so, might the winner use the spare change to mop up the small fry?
The best outcome for Arc is surely a complete sale. Does this bid make it more likely? I think, yes. At the very least it puts a spotlight on major copper producers and the worldwide squeeze on deposits.
Another possibility is that a midtier supplier might wish to attach itself to the coattails of a major, whether BHP, Glencore or some other, by buying the 30% share (or, more accurately, the 66% of 30%).
If any of this happens, a takeout price would be nowhere near as high as we could have got years ago when the Exclusivity Agreement was signed - thanks, Schirnding.
But we must be thankful for small mercies which may come our way.