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Sorry not Vpn pred text was meant to say GPU'S
Are you talking about the sale of ARM to NVDA? That was news just this week which had little impact to the SP. In fact it's not a foregone conclusion as it has to pass scrutiny and approval from a number of countries GB being one of them.
Most that non organic rise you're talking about is from the sale of Vpn's from lockdown as gamers have been online and upgrading. Bitcoin miners have had little contribution to the SP due to ever increasing costs to mine due to splits.
NVDA have just brought out their Ampere GPU's which I'm sure will be a big hit as technically it's far better than their top line 2080 line-up.
AMD has been a competitor but not just in the GPU sector but taking on Intel which it has been leading in the consumer market. I also hold positions on Intel too so you could say that was risky since they are a direct competitor but Intel shares took a nose dive due to issues with their latest chip and Apple ditching then for ARM.
However Intel lead when it comes to server based CPU'S they are far more reliable and easier for Virtual server setup.
So basically one of you're golden geese is a takeover play the other is a competitor, that's hardly the wisest moves from a strict risk perspective. Wonder what chart you concocted for that one.
Though case and point from my comment about external factors, so for Nvidia most of that price move is not organic. Interestingly crypto mining has helped a lot of growth in that particular sector recently. Genuinely good luck with your micro chip play though.
Doucher. I 100% agree with everything you said. especially the it's just an opinion, and not advice neither am i an expert.
I play both the Long and Short game. So yes I made a profit from AMD & NVDA then closed my positions to then open a Short on AMD as i see retracement on this and I am already banking profit on it now.
Some may say i post predicitions, I say they are profit targets as that is my trading strategy. Those buy the CFD, i don't i simply trade the spread. horses for causes really.
"If I was giving advice"
And if the government was giving advice...
"Don't wear masks", "wear masks"
"close schools to prevent covid19", "don't close schools"
"14 day quarantine if you fly", "no quarantine needed if you drive to places instead"
etc. :)
Toothache, interesting you saying that you're investing to get a return... AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA's divided is derisory ($0.64) per share, so you're gambling on the share price. In the long term, yes, you've probably done well with AMD and NVDA, but if you'd invested in the last month, you'd be down in BOTH cases. You're still convinced that both are good investments - well that's your call. But you can probably afford the last month of losses because you'll still be up. But at what point would you get out? Likewise with TLW. I'm personally down 35% on Tullow. It's not the only share that I'm down on. But in the long term (20 years), oil will still be a commodity that is needed, and it's a depleting supply. I'm not a fan of oil, nor am I a world economist but I can see that oil will still be needed in the short and medium term. Is TLW share price going to go up or down, not for me to say. But your assertion that you'd invest in AMD and NVDA as quazi 'bankable' shares to guarantee returns is your own speculation and opinion. Nothing more. AMZN and AAPL are shares in the same boat as NVDA. Are they generally bankable? Not for me to say. But do they have potential to give a multiple return in the next year? Well that's less likely. But I'm not an expert. I'm DEFINITELY NOT GIVING ADVICE TO ANYONE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH.
If I was giving advice: borrow words from Baz Luhrman's song... Wear Sunscreen!
Scrodinger. The fact of the matter is this...
Your investment goals are different to mine.
Besides I was replying to Nickel about his charting of oil. So go highjack someone else.
hahaha...you make me laugh Scrodinger. It's making for some popcorn reading. It's just an opinion not a prediction...
'Probability' does not mean a certainity. Just in case you were struggling with the English context/meaning
Yep you're right in that we are all GAMBLERS...AGREE WITH YOU 100%.
Let me put it in laymans terms as you don't seem to grasp what I am saying.
If you want to pile money into a share and let it drop and then put more into it on the hopes that it will rise maybe 18month or even longer as one poster said 3 years to see a good return then that's your choice. I said I would rather spend 100K on a share that will give ME (not you or anyone else) a return in a shorter period of time. i.e. AMD , NVDA.
GLA.
There are more than a few categories of fools in investing, 2 kinds of them are firstly the ones who think that they can safely predict the future using chart analysis on it's own and those who ignore charts entirely.
You painted yourself as some sort of sage recently as you seem to be unaware that the vast majority of investors spend at least some of their time looking at charts, why because it tells us the past and you can extrapolate a trend from it. But you seem blissfully ignorant that this is only part of the puzzle, trends do not account for most future events or market wide or industry specific events. Anybody who has ever had to put a cash flow forecast together for an organisation with all the possible variables available at your disposal will tell you it's not an exact science. But you seem to suggest that you know where the SP is heading based on the past and no grasp of the fundamentals of the organisation you are betting against, ignoring the psychology of the market, the external price influences and possible future notifiable events.
You infer everyone invested here is a gambler well unfortunately you are a gambler with a chart and a trend line. Some helpful advice would be to go through the interims again, make sure you understand the balance sheet because apart from headline numbers you don't appear to have it nailed on what you are betting against.
Scrodinger...it's a resistance line...nothing else to it. if it crosses good but whose to say that it won't come back down? If you read my posts carefuly I said it was below the resistance line. I said it's a probability that it could go down further...and I still take that same view/position. Even if it goes up to 21p as that is also another major pivot point which the SP could get rejected a number of times before it comes back down.
I dont claim to be an expert...you just like to pick and try to find faults to stregnthen your argument, if that is what you wish to do with your time then be my guest. But piling more money into a flailing share price isn't going to make you money.
Some of you may want to hold onto 100K for 3 years but I don't when i can make x3 in less than 6 months just by putting into AMD, NVDA back in April.
What happened to your resistance line then that broke this week (16.11 - 16.25)? Why don't you share your revised analysis as unfortunately your expert analysis from just a few days ago if anybody was to have taken it would be 20% down, an expert chartist with a 20% trend reversal in the space of less than 48 hours. I can see investor's queuing down the street for your future analyses.
I'm using Daily TF, only interested in the opening and close for the DAY! Hourly is pointless unless you're intraday trading.
Nickel, not according to my chart. the BRENT OIL price is still below the 52 & 200 MA. It remains to be seen whether the 52 cross over the 200.
Very good indicator and bullish.