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At this rate he’ll be at 100p in mid 2022 by end of next week. I’m struggling to take him as credible or he’s panicking in this volatile market environment...he’s quiet subtle with his with his doom and gloom predictions so perhaps a new shorting approach
I agree, he changes like the weather he’s currently saying 110p middle of 2022 from a starting point of 150p at the end of this year. He’s drifted down from there at various prices between the two and extended those predictions into mid 2022 in the last two weeks..plucking out figures at random...why you’d buy back in at 107p while expecting mid 90p’s is hard to believe. He’s loosing all credibility with me and sounding like a shorter...!.
looking back over past few weeks your predictions started out at 150p end of year. That changed down to 135p then 130p then 125p than 120p all been mentioned by you in your posts. Your latest prediction is 110p in middle of 2022. How many goes do want to pin the donkeys tail...??? Will you be at 100p by the end of next week with a low near whatamess prediction before then...? Are you actually invested here or looking for a lower entry point as you sold out on April 1st...???
amazing, you think the markets have two views on international travel and travel that reflect two different outcomes, one for travel stocks that stayed blue friday and holding well and one for RR that went red and fell. we shall see what travel stocks do in next four weeks too to test your theories....if markets have a view it would reflect across the sector which its yet to do. it more possible that RR is trading in a range where its good for the traders to make gains in that range so I'm interested to see if it spikes up to near 112p next week for traders to take some gains till more positive news enters the markets!. next week will be interesting...
do you not think markets will see the asset sales (improved cashflow) and a limited re-opening of international travel to green countries as a big plus and reflect that in the share price or are you seriously predicting this as a negative and share will drop...???
once RR completes asset sales and markets see their cashflow improve plus a limited re=open of international travel from june july the share should be 120-130p level otherwise RR won't be the only company with problems...some will have far more problems...
do you not think governments now they can only lockdown people for so long or they'll lose co-operation and control mate...how much more money can countries print to keep the world afloat...??? how much more debts can countries take on before we reach a squeeze point...do you think people in certain countries will put up with this for much longer particularly poor countries...?
so IAG will be facing another RI and expecting governments to extend furlough into 2022...??? what happens is they don't get virus under control in 2022 and it mutates again...??? are we facing the end of the world as some countries will be broke...???
I actually believe the industry will recover but obviously all depends on the world being vaccinated , no chance they will let the floodgates open, my point is travel will Go ahead but the stock to recover will take much longer. I hope I’m wrong but can’t see upward trend for a fair while .
iag easy jet and ryan air aren't doing too bad at moment, are iag falling back to their lows as they've doubled in value since the first vaccine was announced...your predicting RR back down near where we started before first vaccine announced...considering we know now more about virus, numerous vaccines and treatments etc i don't see the falls you predict as possible. i thought you talked sense once but i now have my doubts...perhaps you should sell up as you lack any confidence in the share...!
World recovery needs international travel to open up, people are going to be pretty naffed off having a vaccine and still facing another year of restrictions under your predictions...??? uk isn't big enough to have people just holidaying here...restricting international travel is bad for economies, some a lot more than others who rely on it to a great extent...RR is currently under valued in line with other recovery stocks so unless your predicting similar drops in those i don't see your predictions holding up...!
So are you expecting some big falls in travel stocks too, IAG-Easy jet-ryan air etc...they're hardly going to hold their gains if your predicting these problems with international travel and travel in general. These stocks are reliant on travel opening up where rolls royce have less debts and more revenue streams plus tangible assets...??? looks like the government will be carrying furlough into 2022 are we or some will be broke under your scenario...???
Yep I think most of us originally thought we would be in a much better place back in nov/dec time but it’s not materialised , international travel is going to be very limited and even if it’s not we have realised this share already hit its heights at 1.30 . So I hope I’m wrong but got some way to go down yet and will take a fair bit to get it back up
I’m sure some good news is round the corner but with so much bad news we may be looking at 12 months before we get back above 1.10 again. I’m happy to hold for that even if it does go down to 60p/70p my gut says 92 is bottom but makes no difference if you can wait.