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The vaccine angel is really really big . if you think , the cant not make and give 590 million vaccines , so probably you get an antibody test first , then after 6 weeks to check you have antibodie safter vacine and then again at 3-6 months . You can see the gvt needing 100 milion antibody tests . So i guess they need to start manufacturing this month to stockpile for next year.
I bought more near close as i expect this to rocket
Interesting dynamic and confirmation of antibody tests now being used with vaccine rollout. This was always mentioned as possible, seems this thinking is being confirmed. So not only tests when the virus is prevalent but also when subdued in order to keep it like this. Years of vaccine, years of antibody tests hence the majority of sp is attributed to this update.
Just wondered? Are the antibody tests being manufactured and stored to support rollout of vaccines? To support priorities to the most needing people?
PHE Paediatric report. Have a read. Published today on the PHE site. Key points for us imo: 10.6% of kids across 5 cities in 136 schools and 12% staff in schools have had it. They haven't caught it from each other. The high prevalence is related to community infections. The report says they have caught it from parents, in nearly all cases where the parent was a key worker in health services. They aren't catching it again. So very good on immunity. The report says it's next study 'Rapid19' (is the clue in the name?) wants to find out (amongst other things) if it can test school children with a rapid antibody finger print test to assess whether they have cv19. I don't know if that is their typo or if they think they have a supersensitive antibody test that can show that? The white paper suggests we can establish earlier in the infection if there are antibodies so maybe they mean us? Also it really does point to the need for mass prevalence studies.
Most people who get very sick and are in mortal danger are very old or have underlying health issues or are obese or are in health worker roles or in jobs where they are exposed to an awful lot of sick people. Much better track and trace, support for those isolating to stay at home even if they are on low incomes or not working. We may be more resilient than we think and we won't know definitively unless we do some serious mass testing.
White paper. Great read but I don't see that the wider market will respond to it's claims because the RTC firms have an obvious vested interest. But key points for me- 1. We need to have antibody testing to save the airline industry; 2. to know if we've had it because we will almost certainly have immunity if the virus behaves like other cv disease, and a repeat of the science that most investors on this board already know having kept up to date with the emerging concensus;
3. we need antibody tests it to help roll out all the vaccine trials to check whether the vaccines in development produce antibodies. There are nearly 100 vaccine trials (last time I looked- could be more now). 4. Our test is very nearly as accurate as the best lab tests and meets very high standards and crucially it is fast, accessible, cheap and efficient to distribute with instant results available.
Rishi Sunak's speech. 'Living is more than existence'. He defended 'eat out to help out'. He said we know more and more about the virus and we are still learning. We have to find a way to live with it. He told us that he had already confirmed £12.6 billion for test and trace and to prepare for mass testing. So does that imply much more to come? I think it does. How else will we 'learn to live with the virus'?
GLA.