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To the poster mentioning risk-reward.
To make money -particularly now-that’s clear.But you can lose it all via risk. Risk has 2 faces.
In the real world risk is just a personal choice. Many people live low risk lives which are well-rewarded!! Many live low risk unrewarding lives.
Some high risk = happy. Some high risk = miserable. . It’s case by case and one high risker can be happy as Larry and another screw up and be miserable as sin.
Same in money and shares. Can come good. Or go belly up.
But in the stock market( as opposed to the complexity of lives) .....generally speaking ....if one is not willing to take a risk-like here-a decent reward will not really be feasible.
Stick or twist
Hold or jack in your hand.
Give this ayear and see if anyone is left.
Hang in there all holders.
Private investors may be unwelcome to the institutions and they may want our shares. The company may feel the sae and be complicit.
I know some people are riled by that concept but I have been party to far more seedy activities in the stock market. I believe it is a hypothesis with some evidence ( poor rns’s/ fund %/ no communication/treated like we don’t exist/ etc etc)
I encourage holding as the company has sound prospects. But I am soured by shareholder neglect and nil communication . Institutions also care not for investors. Market is red in tooth and claw. As we are free agents...believe what you wish.
But I thank those who in turn encourage us on a loss to hang in there in the face of odds stacked against us. Lack of comm is not coincidental. Nor were the RNS’s . Nor is the falling share price.
Rant at me or agree but I wish all a good night.
400k..pounds in revenue today.
That's on the reduced 12 million a month.
Will the tenders provide four years of revenue and part compensate for the DHSC. Highly likely. Versalab will take a while to gain traction but partners should speed the start up process. The other question is how quickly are worldwide sales building. S.p.angel one of the companies brokers was very surprised at the recently announced world sales.
No one likes the disruption caused by the DHSC dispute but the mountain of cash and future revenue streams being put in place will take care of this turbulence once this spat is done with. It could go right to the end of the four week period as it looks like it is intransigence that brought it to this stage.
An rns from the left of field would be appreciated.
Exmex yes , first place I looked . K
Im not aware of any monumental beep ups. You nor I have no idea whatsover what the contract dispute is over nor who caused it , nor if it will be resolved , the company is cash rich , no debt and has a fantastic R and D division. It has some of the best most accurate and desperately required tests on the market. It has just been approved as a supplier in the latest tender. The company is grossly undervalued and still the never ending stream of doom merchants. I believe in karma and actually the harder some try the more I laugh , my money my decision , my investment and I have the choice to sell. If I owned shares and believed it was a croc of crap I'd sell, not sit here waiting for the situation to deteriorate. My one issue with Novacyt is the lack of official news but I too would give competitors zero inf I was in dispute. Yes the SP falls as result of this but the cash position is protected. One positive piece of news and the SP will rocket. If we were sitting at 20 then BR could play games , don't buy into it all. A good story.
Freedom is only possible by constantly struggling for it.
Pain is part of the price of freedom.
Cread ??
We are agents of our own existence. We are agency and freewill birth to death. As a teacher and psychotherapist I ( and others) base their work on it. Each person runs their own decisions wake to sleep and their own day. This world is run by humans-hence wars and abuse! And love and kindness. Humans alone run their world via individual freewill.
Hence tickingbup Bluelight’scpost.
We are responsible for everything we do in each day.
From buying shares to going to the shops to jumpingboff Beachy Head if we choose.
It is that which gives us our freedom.
So we can make up our own mind about any tosh we hear orcread ....charts/opinions/other strange stuff.
As Bluelight said.....
He is in charge.
We are all in charge of everything we do .
Just us.
We choose.
Well, many new faces on here. To be honest with what's going on it isn't hard for the flies to circle. Hopefully GM can put the rubbish out, then we can have a spring clean. It's in your hands GM. People have put faith in you, show us is wasn't misplaced. For me, a non covid play would be good. Don't even need to go all in. Now is the time.
I see World Quant declared a new short of 0.61% ( 430,820 shares) on 12/04/21 . Who reappeared on this board that day and got into a right panic this weekend when news of the new test and position's on the National Microbiology Framework were posted .
Im not aware of any monumental beep ups. You nor I have no idea whatsover what the contract dispute is over nor who caused it , nor if it will be resolved , the company is cash rich , no debt and has a fantastic R and D division. It has some of the best most accurate and desperately required tests on the market. It has just been approved as a supplier in the latest tender. The company is grossly undervalued and still the never ending stream of doom merchants. I believe in karma and actually the harder some try the more I laugh , my money my decision , my investment and I have the choice to sell. If I owned shares and believed it was a croc of crap I'd sell, not sit here waiting for the situation to deteriorate. My one issue with Novacyt is the lack of official news but I too would give competitors zero inf I was in dispute. Yes the SP falls as result of this but the cash position is protected. One positive piece of news and the SP will rocket. If we were sitting at 20 then BR could play games , don't buy into it all. A good story.
HarChris, This is the link giving the latest broker advice. You have to go halfway down the page to the Q and A section on the right:
https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/LON/NCYT/
No reward in life without risk. Trick is to stack the deck in your favour with sound analysis and interpretation. If it were easy everyone would be a millionaire. Hardest part is how you deal with it when things go against you, some cut and run, some double down, some shut up shop. It's easy to invest when it always goes up, but best gains are made when something behaves irrationally, however to invest then takes nerves of steel. Anyway, I'm not preaching, we all have our own styles and strategies to make money
New beginnings are often disguised as painful endings.
Lao Tzu
Bluelight, I hope you're right. I'm just saying that if it all goes belly up, we are in a much better position to get something fair, because of current events.
I'm here to provide information, solution and hope.
HarChris , There have been many, totally inexplicable monumental **** ups in a very short space of time. And, some here are behaving like this is the best thing which happened to us, talking of all the brilliant 'possibilities', completely ignoring the reality.
We are dealing with institutions which have trillions in their hands. I don't like to give financial advice. All I can say is that I bought some of my shares back and when I looked at broker forecasts, they advised HOLD rather than BUY or SELL.
Bloody wish we were valued at ten times profit...
Harchris, agreed it depends what we buy. It-is looked like a great piece of business. But our next investment ideally won’t be part of our current supply chain. I get the feeling the sector is pretty hot in general now too so maybe they are holding off as to try and avoid paying over the odds. A lot of the take overs we’ve heard about have been in the region of ten times profit.... which is expensive.
No problem Hydr, I'm not getting wound up, I just like to say things as I see it, just my nature. It is difficult to value because of all the moving parts definitely. Min though I base it on what I mentioned earlier. Upside is incredibly difficult to forecast, as one major international order and it would make all forecasts irrelevant.
Blue light I was just making the point that this share has been extremely hard to value. When sentiment has been positive I could see how porky derived his £54 and now sentiment is low I can also see potential for negative valuations too. But one good thing to remember is shorters can only ever make 100% but going in long there is no ceiling. So time will win out and shorters will close or burn!!
No that's plainly wrong Hydr. IT-IS for example cost £10m and generated £5m revenue and was profitable. There will be hundreds, maybe thousands of private companies in the space that have huge potential but lack the funds to reach profitability etc
It is true that this investment comes with considerable executional risk and at this point is very much an investment in Graham and the board but only a monumental **** up could cause shareholder value to decline from here...
Bluelight.
A home truth mate. Ticked that up.
crl123, I don't want to name names. My last post was mysteriously deleted for no offence. But, if you're asking, I can only say that BR have form in this area.
But, it's not doom and gloom. I wouldn't be worth my hourly rate if I didn't have a solution. It would help if I had some support for that solution, but even if I don't, I'm going to do what's needed because as a Responsible Person (with capital R and P), I have a duty to call out fraud where I see it, and report it to the proper authorities.
Rest assured, if we don't get the right price for our shares, I will go above and beyond to get it, especially if they're BR because right now they are being sued by another lot of shareholders in the US and we can offer them help in return for their help for us.
Also, due to the Greensill fiasco, the FCA will have to bend backwards to satisfy me with a thorough examination and if they don't I'll go to the papers and make a racket.
Timing is on our side. It's as though someone is watching over us. I didn't choose my moniker for nothing.
A short can do whatever valuation they like, it matters not to me what they come out with. All I care about is my own valuation, as it is my own money I am investing with. Frankly anyone who takes positions based on other people's price forecasts either high or low is a fool. Should only ever invest based on personal convictions and analysis.
Bluelight with regards to your valuation. If you pretend for a minute that you are a shorter and you don’t like the stock you can do a different calculation that’s much worse. Let’s say your right and we have 130 now with another 90 or so to be delivered this year. What can approximately 200 million buy you? Maybe a 20 million revenue business? That’s 28eps. Apply a pe of let’s say 10 and that’s a share price of £2.80. At this point you have spent your cash acquiring the business and if it’s a good growth business then maybe we double the pe to 20 £5.60 a share.
Yes if your positive on the stock you’ll say that’s ridiculous and I understand ( there are lots of positives for us to be excited about) but without any visibility on sales all we know is that earnings are declining, vaccines deploying, sentiment is low. This is why I will wait for macd to confirm sentiment has changed, before then we are in a downtrend and the market likes to test ones resolve beyond what is reasonable.
Check out the charts for the previous three major peaks and you’ll see when the macd on the 1 day crosses, the momentum shifts and the share price goes on its run.