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more negatives than positives in the MF report for me, MARS are still cash burning £4m-5m a week staying afloat as the majority of their pubs and hotels will not open for another 4 weeks... IF... the brazilian and indian variants do not creep into the U.K during the next 4 weeks, its likely it will somehow do so, couple this with a possible increased R rate thanks to lockdown easing and we could return to partial lockdowns this summer - and we all know what businesses will be closed first. i think at 90-110p the possible long term recovery of this share, is actually already priced in, any further negative news from this point and it will retrace to 70-85p range...
Taken from Motley Fool
"Booming business
Another hospitality business I’d buy for my portfolio is Marston’s (LSE: MARS). I think this is one of the best UK shares to buy today, based on its recovery potential.
The group’s losses totalled a staggering £360m in 2020, and analysts are forecasting losses of £44m for 2021. But profit could return in 2022, according to forecasts.
Based on the scenes we’ve seen of packed pub gardens over the past week, I think these forecasts could be too conservative.
That said, Marston’s recovery is far from guaranteed. It’s exposed to the same risks as Restaurant Group. Another coronavirus wave could force the government to shut restaurants and bars again. This would send the business back to square one. And after generating a loss of £360m in 2020, there’s no guarantee the company could survive another lockdown.
Even after taking this risk into account, I’d still buy the stock for my portfolio of recovery shares today"
https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/pubs-performing-above-expectation-since-081055444.html
“There is significant pent-up demand in the economy. The consumer savings ratio is at high levels, and all indications are that the demand for events, for festivals, for live sport, for going out for a meal and for socialising with friends is as strong as ever,” said Shepherd Neame chief executive Jonathan Neame.
Morning all,
Does anyone have an inkling as to why the sector took a hit yesterday? I tried to look up any articles but nothing came up. MAB also dropped 5%. Hoping for an upturn today. The weather is nice for the foreseeable and lots of pub gardens are busy.
Well at least India are now on the Red List, Why it takes almost 4 days baffles me when at Christmas Boris introduced a lockdown here in under 8 hours.
Trent New Zealand.
Gov't 's everywhere have made mistakes and 4ked up. But show me one Government body anywhere that has got 100% of it's effort 100% correct. You can't. None have. Many have fared much worse.
You best repeat these nonsense statement to the 100's of Publicans who have not opended and worse those who have and had booked tables this last weekend, with provisions and staff engaged and then Customer's did not keep their Booking.
If you believe the Gov have done a good job and by inference you approve flights from India etc should continue?. Hardly good practice when Scientists are warning of the inherent dangers.
Rubbish.
For example (just one example) do you think that Marstons think this gov have done a good job? You’re invested in them. The answer is ‘no’.
‘This government’ does not mean ‘every elected official in the land’. Even if it did, how can you possibly make such a sweeping statement.
It is you who has the blinkers on pal. Head in the sand.
"Unbelievably naive" ..........remarkabably an unintelligent comment from probably a blinkered vision. The govt as a whole not just the characters you see on TV but the hard workers behind the scenes making it work from local councils, parishes and governing bodies to getting this roll-out underway and backed in many ways. Regardless of wheedling in politics from what they had to deal with is remarkable compared to other countries. The hard work of those just totally abnegated through a short sighted flippant comment. Just so much disappointment in your comment but we live in a democratic socitey and each to their own.
‘This government has done a grand job’
Unbelievably naive.
@ FD & Yoyoma.
I agree that most (the sensible ones) have done as they've been asked to do, but at the same time started to become inreasingly frustrated at the ones that are seemingly either too stupid or selfish to play the game, and help with the effort to bring the virus under some level of control.
I get that it's no fun, and how it can affect mental health, not being able to get off for a pint & chat with drinking buddies, pop round to see friends, weekends away and so on.
Anyway, rant over.
Was laying new pens out this morning and my fields literally piggy back off the A303 and from 0500 to around 0900 we probably saw over 200 caravans/motohomes heading SW. So I can only imagine the increased footfall on those poor villages and districts from these idiots thinking they deserve a break. Like you Trent I am climbing the walls with frustration and would love to just b*gger off for a couple of days for the change of scenry. This govt has done a grand job in how they've handled it however the inbound flights is a huge concern. We are an Island lets just close the borders and re-open next year.
Most of us are keeping to the rules, but wonder why the Hell flights from India are continuing without control. Some say how can we control our borders, easy. NZ have a process where , even returning Nationals MUST go into quarantine Hotels. There are limited spaces which must be booked in advance. At the moment anyone wishing to travel to NZ are looking at a 12-14 week wait for available QT accomodation. Why can't a similar process be in place here? There are very many vacant Hotel bed-spaces in London.
It seems to be beyond the wit of Politicians to see how best to give us back the freedom we so much miss.
@ CTEAL. I agree with you.
Far too many have swanned off to the beach, off on "protests" et al with no concern over being in close proximity to strangers, with no thought or concern if they are or have been infwcted with it or not, but seemingly too dim to understand that they are not only putting themselves at risk, but also potentially putting family members in harm's way. Yet a lot of those are more than happy to lay the blame squarely at the Gov't's feet.
Like everyone else, I'm bored sh*tless not being able to do the things that we normally take for granted. Visiting friends, the odd weekend away, missing our holiday last year. All the usual stuff.
But we all just have to get on with it though, don't we.
And to remember about the current vaccines...from those who no more than you and i ...."The current vaccines are highly effective at preventing people from getting seriously sick with COVID-19. However Given the uncertainty and the arrival of more contagious variants, experts say fully vaccinated people should continue to wear masks and social distance in public and when visiting with unvaccinated people at high risk for severe illness if infected.
“We still have to be cautious,the vaccine is essential. But it is not a cure-all that ends the epidemic tomorrow."
If only people followed this we would be out of this mess quicker!,,,,
* 2nd vaccine, not nephew. D'oh!
I'm not sure that this is something that is pointed at those that have been vaccinated.
I have had both my jabs, (I got called up for my 2nd one a little earlier than I thought on Sunday just gone) but my guess is that the Govt are just considering those that have not had their 2nephew yet, and those that for whatever reason are objecting to having them.
Just a thought.
@Fairdealer
Can't agree more, the more rules & regs they introduce make it harder & harder for pubs to make a living for their owners/tenants in normal times, let alone in a pandemic.
Why indeed were we vaccinated, or do they suppose that we are all now a nation of bed wetters ?
For that is how we are being treated, for sure.
Pubs required to have better air circulation systems!!
Have windows and doors open, expensive extraction/re-circulation system. How the hell will this work? Many Pubs I know would find it impossible and impracticable, too say nothing of altering Listed Buildings.
Best go to the pub this Autumn and Winter wearing an overcoat and or full thermals.
Many will be wondering why have we been vaccinated?
London, indeed we will see after the Legacy RF leaves behind. My view on the Welsh Mission is well known, we have taken on a Liabilty which is not has shareholders were originally informed. Number of viable pubs are lower than the original management proposal. Just about half (70) of the viableI pubs being opened on 26th April. We do'nt know the fine detail of the Brain's deal. We pay rent in advance, no idea whether or not the Pubs under management have a repairing Lease undertaking etc etc. Brain's were on the ropes, the deal was hastily completed, imo to spike the guns of Platinum who quite possibly would have increased the offer.
I hope for all PI's I am wrong regarding the Expedition into Wales
Good evening all,
It's too early to make a conclusion but with almost 3 months passing, rejecting the bid offer of £1.05 was definitely a bold move.
RF leaving is very positive, the underperformance of the share price in the last 5 years is embarrassing.
Let's hope the new CEO has more gravitas and understands maximising shareholder value.
We shall see....
Pubs, restaurants and bars which reopened on Monday have said their sales were more than double the levels seen before the coronavirus pandemic struck, according to new figures.
Hospitality data specialists at CGA said that like-for-like drink sales jumped by over 100% on the first day of outdoor trading, compared with the same day in 2019.
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Not comparable in anyway as footfall was without pandemic, Mondays elevated boost was people gettting out to see who else was out and to be part of the novelty factor. True reflection of figures will be Q3 and also the biggest factor will be when the Govt device on how to claw this money back. I have yet to venture out for a pint as this time of year is busy for us so once chance permits I shall be out for a few cheeky pints.
I've gone from Weisbeir (my fav back in the 70's) to EPA now so more or less full circle (tried the inbetweens). I have to say we do excel at ales in Britain.
Pubs and restaurants in Wales are re-opening on 26th April, making Landlords in the Principality angry., being 2 weeks behind England
Pubs, restaurants and bars which reopened on Monday have said their sales were more than double the levels seen before the coronavirus pandemic struck, according to new figures.
Hospitality data specialists at CGA said that like-for-like drink sales jumped by over 100% on the first day of outdoor trading, compared with the same day in 2019.
Hospitality firms in England welcomed customers again on Monday after at least three months of closure due to the latest set of lockdown measures.