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Thank goodness, price of coffee was getting expensive. With the amount I drink, I was starting to get side-ways glances from the wife.
Good call LA, coffee futures predicted to decline.
https://www.vendingmarketwatch.com/coffee-service/news/21253488/arabica-coffee-prices-are-forecast-to-decline-robusta-to-gain-2-in-2022
What baffles me is spending so long talking about shares he has no involvement or plans of owning.
I would not spend hours a day on a board discussing the price of Coffee in Peru actually but I guess everyone is different.
My live system recorded that but cannot see anything traded near that price below 152 i think when i checked. 152.68 AT at 8:00:39 off bid on 798 th trade . Unless uou are on the order book on the bid you will never get filled.
Northcote, you got in at as near bottom as possible which I saw as 152.75 offer which was a millisecond trade as part of a swipe. It opened at 154.70 but I cannot see a 149.55 trade although it recorded as such. Good call.
Seriously. You have seen 5% and 7% swings based on markets speculating on what the fed might or might not say. And you think markets 'shrug' at the fed as if it has no consequence. The entire world's stock markets hang on the tiniest hint from the fed whether to buy or sell. The boe also has a similar effect given London's place in global trading and G7 seat.
'Shrug'. OK, you want to think that, you go trade on it.
Hey blue look, SP is blue. That'll be the markets shrugging off the fed decision.
(Just a lowly amateur trader's opinions of course - just waiting to be eaten by the scary IIs)
Back to 160.My estimate was that IAG would reach 160 by the end of the month. It actually managed it on the first trading day of the month, but struggled to go further and has just recently been wobbled with the fed announcement unknowns. Now all that business is out of the way, for now of course.
What to look out for. Well, as results come through and debt levels are revealed, we may now be entering the great consolidation zone. Something I think omicron delayed. It is widely commentated that there will be a lot of change with some airlines going under, mergers acquisitions and so on. Air Europa for IAG for example. IAT is coming back as Alitalia, mmmm..... so much for the EU competition rules. I suspect the next couple of weeks leading up to IAG results could see more and more speculation about changes in the sector. Some of it will be due to money but some will be simply due to pragmatic business to take advantage of the recovery and ensure not being left behind and going under.
For me and IAG shares, so far I see the sp exactly (literally 160.00 as I look at the screen!) where I expected it to be, so everything is now whether IAG is going to pay down the debt with revenue over a long extended period of time, raise money through the market to reduce debt quickly [which may or may not dilute shares and may or may not be available to retail investors] or go for a quick return to divs by calving off a large chunk of the business [selling off BA for example]. Second guessing any of this is very difficult so it will be a case of me deciding to keep a wedge available and hope for the best. I suspect the big decision will be made within two weeks for me. In the meantime, since the RI still hangs around I don't want to get caught out or release funds from other stocks so I will be staying out on the present evidence for another two weeks.
The london stock exchange is the only accurate reading
the lowest level was £1.5268 and could not be bought at the open!!!
NorthScot
""IAG.... it actually dropped to 150 at the open but couldn't get in till 153 because""
Iag opened at 154 and didn't drop
we should see a steady rise from here into spring and summer (strong bookings) plus no more testing, £1.80-2.00 coming by Spring. £2.00-2.30 by summer IMO.
I did the same Bobbins. Every little helps :)
NorthScot - good call to dump stock yesterday and jump back in this morning. I managed a quick daytrade earlier from 154 to 158 - only a small amount, but it still beats working for a living.
yidade, I say gold as a kind of typical safe haven, I'm sure these days it is far more sophisticated and could involve bonds, commodities, metals, futures ect. The point being those hoping for the fed to say March hike is 0.25% didn't get it and moved their money elsewhere for the moment.
One interesting thing to consider though, the Fed could still do the rise in March. It isn't explicitly ruled out in the same way it is not explicitly ruled in. Their could be some sudden volatility in the markets with sudden rises. My money is on the fed has not made a commitment and will move without warning and possibly bigger than 0.25% without warning. But that investment strategy is above my KFC bargain bucket pay grade.
BB, why are you not on the EZJ board posting, they have announced their results today and one qould expect you to be on their board as you hold EZJ and not IAG!! Very odd if you conduct a poll here!! ahahahah.
A bit of flaky paint. I am confused. This is a real world reported issue. Are you seriously suggesting that issues like this should be just ignored, swept under the carpet and pretend there is no issue? How precisely does that help anybody?
You are clearly an amateur trader Danphonic based on a number of your posts. The market will not construct particular narratives to suite investment strategies. Cold hard analysis is the order of the day to try and second guess what the iis will do on auto traded shares. Issues of 5G problems, paint problems, landing gear problems, advisory notes from aircraft manufacturers; all of that background noise is regularly researched from a wide variety of sources to spot the problem or advantage for quick investing.
It is the 360, trading without it is plain and simple gambling and the iis will always win on that one. The stock market is a very efficient machine to transfer money from gambling rainbow chasing pis to the iis. You seem to only want to hear a news narrative that confirms your investment choices and beliefs. You need comforting and stroking. You are a high risk for being bled dry by the iis.
Whilst I agree with some of your statement, they have certainly not moved to gold.
The market will not 'shrug' off the fed delay as you say. The markets want to see action against inflation. The fed has been expected to begin the hiking of interest rates. It was a question of when. The market expected March, hence the increase in sp yesterday. But the fed did not confirm March. Those in stocks, airline stocks, expecting March have moved their money out - I would say mostly to gold. The sector has about a 2% dent from that. That is how much money takes the def decision as not good for their strategy. With the fed out of the way as the timetable now appears clear, the job of investing according to the conditions surrounding the sector become dominant. Some new money comes in and takes up some of the dip, maybe for medium holds, maybe just day trading. The sp will now react more to sector dynamics, more countries removing testing, more removal of testing and covid restrictions. And the sector will also react more to other significant events like war! The sector is strong, money should continue to come in and the stock become increasingly scarce and therefore more expensive. War is less likely than likely (imo) and hints at deals will also help.
What I'm more worried about and I'm sure blue will help us out, is a bit of flaky paint.
Maybe blue can get two or three more negative posts out of that.
Got my gumshield and headguard on already.
"Looking pretty good now. Seems like market will shrug the fed decision off pretty quickly."
Give it time, head punch coming this afternoon when the US markets open and scream for the exits. Then it may settle. Next week or two is going to be meh!
Looking pretty good now. Seems like market will shrug the fed decision off pretty quickly.
Did you jump back in NorthScot? Well done if you managed to?
Yes 100%
The real heavy lifters in the markets pore over spreadsheets using complex models with 100 different inputs for everything from passenger loads to salaries of the air hostesses. What is said on here is nothing more than trivial noise to them